Hillary Clinton holds a 10-point lead over Donald Trump among likely November 2016 Colorado voters, according to a Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs presidential tracking poll released today.

In a matchup of the post-Super Tuesday front-runners for the Democratic and Republican nominations, Clinton leads Trump 49% to 39%, with 13% undecided.

“Clinton lost here last night, but moved closer to the nomination and is well-positioned with a 10-point lead in this swing state,” said Mike Melanson, founding partner of OnSight Public Affairs. “Looking at a November electorate, she consolidates the party base and picks up the other key categories needed to win.”

In a head-to-head matchup against Trump, the former Secretary of State receives support from nearly 9 in 10 Democrats. In addition, she has overwhelming support among the groups that are key to winning general elections in Colorado: Hispanics (+68% over Trump), voters ages 18-49 (+26% over Trump), and among women (+25% over Trump).

The statewide survey of 450 likely general-election voters was conducted Feb. 26-29 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6%.*


“Younger Colorado voters may be ‘feeling the Bern’ now, but they’re clearly ready for Hillary in November,” said pollster Chris Keating. “In comparison, Trump has only lukewarm support (74%) among Colorado Republicans and is nowhere close to where he needs to be among other demographics.” (Read the polling memo.)

In swing-state Colorado, candidates routinely compete for the support of unaffiliated voters in November — a group that breaks Clinton’s way by a 16-point (51% to 35%) margin.

The candidates are statistically tied among older voters age 50+ (Trump 44% – Clinton 41%).

Support for action on Supreme Court

On another closely watched public-policy issue, a majority of respondents said the Supreme Court vacancy created following the death of Justice Antonin Scalia should be filled before the November election.

A majority (52%) of voters supported taking action now, vs. 37% who said the decision should be left to the next president. The majority comes with support from 75% of Democrats and 59% of unaffiliateds. Roughly two-thirds of Republicans (67%) say the appointment should come after a new president takes office.

Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs was recognized by Democrats and Republicans alike as providing extremely accurate tracking polling during the 2012 presidential election.

*Numbers may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.