by admin | Apr 2021 | Biden, Elections, politics, Polling, Trump
More than two-thirds of Colorado Republicans say 2020 election “was stolen from Donald Trump”
DENVER — Having reached the 100-days-in-office mark, President Joe Biden continues to be viewed favorably by a majority of Coloradans — who also give high marks to the president’s proposed $2 trillion American Jobs Plan — according to the latest Keating–OnSight–Melanson (KOM) Colorado Poll™ released today.
Other notable findings:
- More than two-thirds (67%) of Republicans surveyed said the November 2020 election “was stolen from Donald Trump;”
- Former President Trump is viewed unfavorably by nearly 6-in-10 voters (39% favorable, 58% favorable);
- and Congressman Lauren Boebert is viewed favorably by less than a third of voters (28% favorable, 50% unfavorable).
This round of KOM polling will be released in two parts. Part one measures voters’ attitudes toward several federal officials and policies. Part two, which will be released on Monday, measures voter attitudes toward state issues — notably the COVID-19 pandemic and vaccines.
Biden’s +14 on favorability (56% favorable, 42% unfavorable) is even higher than in our October KOM Colorado Poll (+7: 53% favorable, 46% unfavorable). His favorable standing is driven by Democrats (89% favorable, 10% unfavorable) and unaffiliated voters (57% favorable, 41% unfavorable).
“Biden continues to find strong support with the voters that propelled him to a convincing, 13-point win against Trump in Colorado in November,” said Curtis Hubbard, principal at OnSight Public Affairs. “Whether it’s his disciplined, thoughtful response to the COVID-19 pandemic or his plans to create jobs and spur economic growth via making long-overdue investments in infrastructure, voters clearly feel like Biden is delivering.”
Six-in-10 voters (60% support, 38% oppose) support increasing taxes on corporations to pay for Biden’s $2 trillion infrastructure investments, dubbed the American Jobs Plan. In addition, nearly six-in-10 (59% support, 38% oppose) support developing zero-emissions trucks, electric vehicles, and the supporting infrastructure as part of that plan.
“Coloradans understand that we have to make 21st Century investments in infrastructure to create jobs, tackle climate change, and compete in a global economy,” said Mike Melanson, “Any infrastructure plan must make serious investments in clean energy and electric vehicles to reduce pollution and tackle our climate crisis.”
While 61% of voters said “Joe Biden legitimately won the election” the 28% who said it was “stolen from Donald Trump” was driven largely by Republicans (with 67% of all Republicans saying it was stolen).
“Most Coloradans believe that President Biden won fair and square,” said pollster Chris Keating. “However, as we see in this poll and recently when the Republican chair of Colorado’s Congressional Redistricting Commission was removed from that post, election conspiracies are not a fringe view among Republicans in Colorado — and frankly that’s dangerous for our democracy.”
The KOM Colorado Poll conducted April 20-26, 2021, is the most recent installment in our effort to track voter opinions on the top political and public-policy issues of the day. Part two will be released on Monday, May 1. Conducted regularly by Keating Research, OnSight Public Affairs, and Mike Melanson — the KOM Colorado Poll provides informative, accurate results using online surveys and was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2020 and 2016 Presidential elections and the 2018 Colorado Gubernatorial race.
For complete results, please see:
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The April KOM Colorado Poll™ was based on online interviews with 528 likely Colorado voters, April 20-26, 2021, and had a MOE of plus or minus 4.3%.
by admin | Dec 2020 | Elections, politics, Polling
“The KOM poll, he noted, has nailed the statewide results in Colorado for three presidential elections running, also correctly predicting Hillary Clinton’s 5-point win in 2016 and Obama’s 4-point win in 2012.”
Read more at coloradopolitics.com
by admin | Nov 2020 | Elections, Polling
Biden +12 over Trump; Hickenlooper +11 over Gardner; and majority oppose Proposition 115 abortion initiative
DENVER — On the eve of the General Election, Democratic Senate nominee John Hickenlooper and presidential nominee Joe Biden maintain double-digit leads over their Republican counterparts among likely Colorado voters, according to the latest Keating-OnSight-Melanson (KOM) Colorado Poll.™
- Biden leads Donald Trump by 12 points (53% – 41%, with 2% undecided). And in the critical suburban counties where Colorado elections are won and lost, Biden leads Trump by 22 points (58% – 36%, with 1% undecided).
- In the U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent former Gov. John Hickenlooper and Republican incumbent Cory Gardner, the Democrat has an 11-point lead (53% – 42%, with 3% undecided).
“We just had a blue moon, and now we’re going to see another Blue Wave,” said pollster Chris Keating, of Keating Research. “Biden and Hickenlooper’s numbers appear to be moving closer together, which means that as Coloradans cast their vote they are most likely to vote the same way in both races. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Senate and Presidential numbers in Colorado are very similar on election night.”
President Trump trails Biden by 41 points (68% – 27%) among Hispanic/Latino voters, and white voters support Biden by double digits (52% – 42%). Biden leads Trump by 22 points among all women (58% – 36%); by 30 points among women age 18-49 (61%-31%); by 32 points (60% – 28%) among unaffiliated women; and by 40 points, (65% – 25%) among suburban women.
“Donald Trump’s racist, misogynist and ethics-averse presidency is coming to a close largely because the voters needed to win elections — women and people of color — have seen him for the fraud he is,” said Curtis Hubbard, of OnSight Public Affairs. “That’s not just true in Colorado, but nationally, which is why Trump and his Republican enablers are working so hard to undermine fair elections.”
Prop 115
A strong majority (56% – 38%) oppose Proposition 115, which would prohibit abortion after 22 weeks of pregnancy.
“Proposition 115 will go down easily even though the anti-abortion groups tried their best to write a confusing ballot question,” said Mike Melanson, a Democratic strategist. “Colorado voters see it for what it is: Another attempt to interfere with women’s rights to make their own healthcare decisions.”
In a mid-October KOM Colorado Poll™, 70 percent of likely voters supported upholding the precedent set in Roe v. Wade that legalized abortion.
Supreme Court
Coloradans are almost evenly divided when it comes to expanding the number of justices on the Supreme Court — with 52% saying the no. of justices should not be increased and 48% saying that the court should be expanded.
Complete Poll Results
ABOUT THIS POLL: Keating Research, OnSight Public Affairs and The Melanson Group jointly release the KOM Colorado Poll™ several times each year. The KOM Colorado Poll™ was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2012 and 2016 Presidential elections, correctly predicting that Clinton would win Colorado by 5 points in 2016 and that Barack Obama would win Colorado by 4 points in 2012.
The latest KOM Colorado Poll™ was based on online interviews with 502 likely Colorado voters, Oct. 29-Nov. 1, 2020, and has a MOE of plus or minus 4.4%.
by admin | Oct 2020 | Elections, Hickenlooper, Polling
DENVER — Less than three weeks out from the General Election, Democratic Senate nominee John Hickenlooper and presidential nominee Joe Biden maintain double-digit leads over their Republican counterparts among likely Colorado voters, according to the latest results from the Keating-OnSight-Melanson (KOM) Colorado Poll.™
The poll also shows 60% of Coloradans oppose efforts to rush a Supreme Court nominee through confirmation this year and strong opposition to overturning benchmark rulings on same-sex marriage, Roe v. Wade, and the Affordable Care Act.
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Biden leads Donald Trump by 15 points (54% – 39%, with 4% undecided). And in the critical suburban counties where Colorado elections are won and lost, Biden leads Trump by 23 points (58% – 35%, with 5% undecided).
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In the U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent Republican Cory Gardner and former Gov. John Hickenlooper, the Democrat has a 10-point lead (51% – 41%, with 7% undecided).
“Trump’s path to defeat is a sight to behold,” said pollster Chris Keating, of Keating Research. “He’s overwhelmingly disliked by Hispanic and younger voters — and he’s doing worse with voters over age 50 than he did four years ago. He’s not popular with women overall, suburban women in particular, or suburban voters in general. Add all that up, and Trump is headed for a classic yard-sale on election day.”
President Trump’s scare tactics have failed miserably in Colorado, as he trails Biden by 45 points (70% – 25%) among Hispanic voters and white voters support Biden by double digits (52% – 41%). Trump is also failing with women — trailing Biden by 23 points (58% – 35%); trailing Biden by 34 points (60% – 26%) among unaffiliated women; and trailing Biden by 36 points, (65% – 29%) among suburban women.
COVID-19/SUPREME COURT
Trump’s poor standing among Colorado voters is owed somewhat to views that he “acted irresponsibly in his handling of the risk of infecting the people around him with the coronavirus” (62% agree vs. 31% disagree) and in his overall handling of the pandemic (61% disapproval vs. 35% approval). His regular departures from the truth also play a factor, as 61% of voters say the President is “dishonest and tells lies.”
His handling of the pandemic is a direct contrast to that of Colorado Gov. Jared Polis, whose pandemic response found approval from 62% of voters.
“Unsuccessfully wishing a pandemic away, stifling scientists and willfully ignoring the recommendations of public health experts is, not surprisingly, an unpopular stance for the President of the United States,” said Mike Melanson. “Conversely, we continue to see strong voter support for Gov. Polis’ honest, data- and best-practices driven response.”
Asked for their views on filling the vacancy created following the recent death of U.S. Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, 60% of likely voters said the next justice should be nominated by the winner of the presidential election and voted on by the U.S. Senate next year.
The poll found overwhelming support for
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keeping same-sex marriage legal (75% – 25%);
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upholding the precedent set in Roe v. Wade that legalized abortion (70% – 30%);
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and upholding the Affordable Care Act (58% – 42%).
“Trump’s coronavirus-catastrophe, coupled with Republicans’ ongoing court-jacking exercise, put the party at odds with the vast majority of Colorado voters,” said Curtis Hubbard of OnSight Public Affairs. “Given the Blue Wave of 2018 and the Blue Tsunami that’s on the horizon, it’s hard to see when the GOP might once again find favor with a Colorado electorate that is increasingly made up of young, diverse and well-educated voters.”
For complete poll results, please see the topline results and crosstabs.
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“Trump’s path to defeat is a sight to behold,” said pollster Chris Keating, of Keating Research. “He’s overwhelmingly disliked by Hispanic and younger voters — and he’s doing worse with voters over age 50 than he did four years ago. He’s not popular with women overall, suburban women in particular, or suburban voters in general. Add all that up, and Trump is headed for a classic yard-sale on election day.”
President Trump’s scare tactics have failed miserably in Colorado, as he trails Biden by 45 points (70% – 25%) among Hispanic voters and white voters support Biden by double digits (52% – 41%). Trump is also failing with women — trailing Biden by 23 points (58% – 35%); trailing Biden by 34 points (60% – 26%) among unaffiliated women; and trailing Biden by 36 points, (65% – 29%) among suburban women.
COVID-19/SUPREME COURT
Trump’s poor standing among Colorado voters is owed somewhat to views that he “acted irresponsibly in his handling of the risk of infecting the people around him with the coronavirus” (62% agree vs. 31% disagree) and in his overall handling of the pandemic (61% disapproval vs. 35% approval). His regular departures from the truth also play a factor, as 61% of voters say the President is “dishonest and tells lies.”
His handling of the pandemic is a direct contrast to that of Colorado Gov. Jared Polis, whose pandemic response found approval from 62% of voters.
“Unsuccessfully wishing a pandemic away, stifling scientists and willfully ignoring the recommendations of public health experts is, not surprisingly, an unpopular stance for the President of the United States,” said Mike Melanson. “Conversely, we continue to see strong voter support for Gov. Polis’ honest, data- and best-practices driven response.”
Asked for their views on filling the vacancy created following the recent death of U.S. Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, 60% of likely voters said the next justice should be nominated by the winner of the presidential election and voted on by the U.S. Senate next year.
The poll found overwhelming support for
-
keeping same-sex marriage legal (75% – 25%);
-
upholding the precedent set in Roe v. Wade that legalized abortion (70% – 30%);
-
and upholding the Affordable Care Act (58% – 42%).
“Trump’s coronavirus-catastrophe, coupled with Republicans’ ongoing court-jacking exercise, put the party at odds with the vast majority of Colorado voters,” said Curtis Hubbard of OnSight Public Affairs. “Given the Blue Wave of 2018 and the Blue Tsunami that’s on the horizon, it’s hard to see when the GOP might once again find favor with a Colorado electorate that is increasingly made up of young, diverse and well-educated voters.”
For complete poll results, please see the topline results and crosstabs.
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ABOUT THIS POLL: Keating Research, OnSight Public Affairs and Mike Melanson jointly release the KOM Colorado Poll™ several times each year. The KOM Colorado Poll™ was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2012 and 2016 Presidential elections, correctly predicting that Clinton would win Colorado by 5 points in 2016 and that Barack Obama would win Colorado by 4 points in 2012.
The latest KOM Colorado Poll™ was based on interviews with 519 likely Colorado voters, Oct. 8-13, 2020, and has a MOE of plus or minus 4.3%.
by OnSight | Oct 2019 | Elections, Hickenlooper, politics, Polling
Trump, Gardner face sizeable favorability gaps one year out from election.
Hickenlooper holds 11-point lead in matchup of 2020 frontrunners.DENVER — A majority of Colorado voters support the Congressional impeachment inquiry into President Trump, and a plurality support impeaching the president and removing him from office, according to results from the latest Keating–OnSight–Martin (KOM) Colorado Poll™ released today.
A majority (54%) of Colorado voters said they support the impeachment inquiry that Congress initiated in late September, while 43% said they are opposed.
A plurality (48%) of respondents said Trump should be impeached and removed from office – with 44% saying he should not.
“The impeachment inquiry is supported by strong majorities of Democrats and unaffiliated voters across Colorado. And support for impeaching and removing Trump from office is particularly strong in suburban swing counties near Denver,” said Curtis Hubbard, of OnSight Public Affairs. “Taken together, that is a horrible combination for Republicans as the 2020 elections draw near.”
The poll found Trump with a 22-point favorability gap (38% favorable to 60% unfavorable) which is his worst standing among Colorado voters since being sworn in.
Colorado U.S. Senator Cory Gardner’s favorability is also at an all-time low for the KOM Colorado Poll. In the most recent survey, Gardner has an 11-point favorability gap, as 34% Colorado voters hold a favorable view of him compared to 45% who hold an unfavorable view.
“It’s no wonder Gardner is routinely called the most vulnerable incumbent Senator in the country. He’s barely above water with members of his own party, and the Trump anchor is pulling him beneath the surface with unaffiliated voters, whose support is a necessary ingredient for success in Colorado,” said pollster Chris Keating, of Keating Research.In a head-to-head matchup with Democratic frontrunner John Hickenlooper, Gardner trails by 11 points, with just 42% support compared to 53% for the former Governor.
Hickenlooper, who entered the race two months ago, is viewed favorably by 51% of respondents, compared to 35% who hold and unfavorable view.
“Hickenlooper is dominating Gardner among all of the key groups and areas needed to win statewide races in Colorado – women, unaffiliated voters, Latinos, suburban swing counties near Denver, and college-educated voters,” said Jake Martin of Martin Campaigns. “There’s still 12 months until Election Day, but the headwinds facing Republicans are fierce.”
The KOM Colorado poll of 500 likely November 2020 voters was conducted October 10-14, 2019, and has a margin of error of +/- 4.4%. This is the firms’ third poll of 2019. The KOM Poll was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2018 Colorado gubernatorial and the 2016 presidential races.
by OnSight | Jul 2019 | Elections, politics, Polling, Romanoff
Keating Research and OnSight Public Affairs have teamed up once again to provide informative, accurate results using live-interviewer telephone surveys and was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2016 Presidential and the 2018 Gubernatorial in Colorado. The Colorado U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Voter Poll was conducted July 1-3, 2019, and is the first installment in the effort to track the 2020 Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate in Colorado.
Highlights
- There is a top tier of 3 names, one of whom is not a declared candidate:
- Former House Speaker Andrew Romanoff leads the field, with 23% support.
- Colorado Secretary of State Jena Griswold, who is not a declared candidate, came in second with 15% support.
- Former Sen. Mike Johnston rounds out the top 3 with 12% support
- The next tier has work to do, as no candidate polls above 2%
- With 42% undecided, the race among Democrats to take on Republican Sen. Cory Gardner remains wide open.
“We were curious to see where Secretary of State Griswold would stack up in this survey,” said pollster Chris Keating. “The fact that an undeclared entrant could garner second reaffirms the fact that this race is wide open.”
“As the lone person in the poll to have run and won a statewide contest, it’s easy to see why Griswold’s name continues to be floated as a potential candidate,” said OnSight’s Curtis Hubbard.
The survey of 500 likely 2020 primary voters was conducted July 1-3 and has a MOE of 4.4%
The Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate is wide open
In a hypothetical match-up in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, former House Speaker Andrew Romanoff leads the pack with 23% and an 8-point lead over Secretary of State Jena Griswold in second place with 15%, and former state Sen. Mike Johnston comes in third with 12%.
No other candidate garners more than 2% of the vote including Alice Madden (2%), John Walsh (2%) and Dan Baer (2%).
With 42% undecided, the race to take on Republican Sen. Cory Gardner in the General Election remains wide open. The fact that an undeclared entrant could garner second reaffirms this fact.
- Romanoff leads among older voters (ages 50+) with 29% of the vote, followed by Griswold with 12% and Johnston with 11%.
- Griswold leads among younger voters (ages 18-49) with 20% of the vote, followed by Johnston with 15% and Romanoff with 11%.
Jena Griswold had the highest net favorability ratings of all the candidates in this field
Griswold is the most well-liked by those who know her with a 7.5-to-1 ratio of 30% favorable to 4% unfavorable. Romanoff has a 3-to-1 ratio of 34% favorable to 11% unfavorable. Johnston also has a 3-to-1 ratio of 29% favorable to 9% unfavorable.
Colorado Senate DP Voter Poll July 2019 – TOPLINES FINAL
Next Senate Pac commissioned Keating Research to conduct the poll. Keating Research is recognized by Democrats and Republicans alike as providing extremely accurate election forecasting in Colorado. This polling data is based on 500 live-interviewer telephone surveys conducted July 1-3, 2019, among likely 2020 Democratic Primary voters statewide in Colorado: 60% conducted on cell-phone and 40% conducted on a land line. Registered Democrats are 70% of the sample and registered Unaffiliated are 30% of the sample. For this sample of 500, the worst case margin of error at the 95% level is plus or minus 4.4%.
Other notable findings:
