by admin | Nov 2020 | Elections, Polling
Biden +12 over Trump; Hickenlooper +11 over Gardner; and majority oppose Proposition 115 abortion initiative
DENVER — On the eve of the General Election, Democratic Senate nominee John Hickenlooper and presidential nominee Joe Biden maintain double-digit leads over their Republican counterparts among likely Colorado voters, according to the latest Keating-OnSight-Melanson (KOM) Colorado Poll.™
- Biden leads Donald Trump by 12 points (53% – 41%, with 2% undecided). And in the critical suburban counties where Colorado elections are won and lost, Biden leads Trump by 22 points (58% – 36%, with 1% undecided).
- In the U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent former Gov. John Hickenlooper and Republican incumbent Cory Gardner, the Democrat has an 11-point lead (53% – 42%, with 3% undecided).
“We just had a blue moon, and now we’re going to see another Blue Wave,” said pollster Chris Keating, of Keating Research. “Biden and Hickenlooper’s numbers appear to be moving closer together, which means that as Coloradans cast their vote they are most likely to vote the same way in both races. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Senate and Presidential numbers in Colorado are very similar on election night.”
President Trump trails Biden by 41 points (68% – 27%) among Hispanic/Latino voters, and white voters support Biden by double digits (52% – 42%). Biden leads Trump by 22 points among all women (58% – 36%); by 30 points among women age 18-49 (61%-31%); by 32 points (60% – 28%) among unaffiliated women; and by 40 points, (65% – 25%) among suburban women.
“Donald Trump’s racist, misogynist and ethics-averse presidency is coming to a close largely because the voters needed to win elections — women and people of color — have seen him for the fraud he is,” said Curtis Hubbard, of OnSight Public Affairs. “That’s not just true in Colorado, but nationally, which is why Trump and his Republican enablers are working so hard to undermine fair elections.”
Prop 115
A strong majority (56% – 38%) oppose Proposition 115, which would prohibit abortion after 22 weeks of pregnancy.
“Proposition 115 will go down easily even though the anti-abortion groups tried their best to write a confusing ballot question,” said Mike Melanson, a Democratic strategist. “Colorado voters see it for what it is: Another attempt to interfere with women’s rights to make their own healthcare decisions.”
In a mid-October KOM Colorado Poll™, 70 percent of likely voters supported upholding the precedent set in Roe v. Wade that legalized abortion.
Supreme Court
Coloradans are almost evenly divided when it comes to expanding the number of justices on the Supreme Court — with 52% saying the no. of justices should not be increased and 48% saying that the court should be expanded.
Complete Poll Results
ABOUT THIS POLL: Keating Research, OnSight Public Affairs and The Melanson Group jointly release the KOM Colorado Poll™ several times each year. The KOM Colorado Poll™ was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2012 and 2016 Presidential elections, correctly predicting that Clinton would win Colorado by 5 points in 2016 and that Barack Obama would win Colorado by 4 points in 2012.
The latest KOM Colorado Poll™ was based on online interviews with 502 likely Colorado voters, Oct. 29-Nov. 1, 2020, and has a MOE of plus or minus 4.4%.
by OnSight | Jul 2019 | Elections, politics, Polling, Romanoff
Keating Research and OnSight Public Affairs have teamed up once again to provide informative, accurate results using live-interviewer telephone surveys and was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2016 Presidential and the 2018 Gubernatorial in Colorado. The Colorado U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Voter Poll was conducted July 1-3, 2019, and is the first installment in the effort to track the 2020 Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate in Colorado.
Highlights
- There is a top tier of 3 names, one of whom is not a declared candidate:
- Former House Speaker Andrew Romanoff leads the field, with 23% support.
- Colorado Secretary of State Jena Griswold, who is not a declared candidate, came in second with 15% support.
- Former Sen. Mike Johnston rounds out the top 3 with 12% support
- The next tier has work to do, as no candidate polls above 2%
- With 42% undecided, the race among Democrats to take on Republican Sen. Cory Gardner remains wide open.
“We were curious to see where Secretary of State Griswold would stack up in this survey,” said pollster Chris Keating. “The fact that an undeclared entrant could garner second reaffirms the fact that this race is wide open.”
“As the lone person in the poll to have run and won a statewide contest, it’s easy to see why Griswold’s name continues to be floated as a potential candidate,” said OnSight’s Curtis Hubbard.
The survey of 500 likely 2020 primary voters was conducted July 1-3 and has a MOE of 4.4%
The Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate is wide open
In a hypothetical match-up in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, former House Speaker Andrew Romanoff leads the pack with 23% and an 8-point lead over Secretary of State Jena Griswold in second place with 15%, and former state Sen. Mike Johnston comes in third with 12%.
No other candidate garners more than 2% of the vote including Alice Madden (2%), John Walsh (2%) and Dan Baer (2%).
With 42% undecided, the race to take on Republican Sen. Cory Gardner in the General Election remains wide open. The fact that an undeclared entrant could garner second reaffirms this fact.
- Romanoff leads among older voters (ages 50+) with 29% of the vote, followed by Griswold with 12% and Johnston with 11%.
- Griswold leads among younger voters (ages 18-49) with 20% of the vote, followed by Johnston with 15% and Romanoff with 11%.
Jena Griswold had the highest net favorability ratings of all the candidates in this field
Griswold is the most well-liked by those who know her with a 7.5-to-1 ratio of 30% favorable to 4% unfavorable. Romanoff has a 3-to-1 ratio of 34% favorable to 11% unfavorable. Johnston also has a 3-to-1 ratio of 29% favorable to 9% unfavorable.
Colorado Senate DP Voter Poll July 2019 – TOPLINES FINAL
Next Senate Pac commissioned Keating Research to conduct the poll. Keating Research is recognized by Democrats and Republicans alike as providing extremely accurate election forecasting in Colorado. This polling data is based on 500 live-interviewer telephone surveys conducted July 1-3, 2019, among likely 2020 Democratic Primary voters statewide in Colorado: 60% conducted on cell-phone and 40% conducted on a land line. Registered Democrats are 70% of the sample and registered Unaffiliated are 30% of the sample. For this sample of 500, the worst case margin of error at the 95% level is plus or minus 4.4%.
by OnSight | Jan 2019 | Polling
Keating Research and OnSight Public Affairs have once again teamed up on the Keating–OnSight (KO) Colorado Poll™ which provides informative, accurate results using live-interviewer telephone surveys and was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2016 Presidential and 2018 Mid-term elections. The new Keating-Onsight Colorado Poll conducted January 20-24, 2019 is the most recent installment in our effort to track Colorado voter attitudes toward Donald Trump, the government shutdown and expanding the wall along the U.S. – Mexico border.
Trump receives a D or F from more than half of voters.
As we arrive at the midway point in the Donald Trump’s Presidency, a majority — 53% — of Colorado voters grade the job he is doing as a D or F, while the minority — 35% — give him an A or B. On a 4-point scale, that translates into a 1.6 grade point average, a solid D+.
A majority of Colorado voters oppose Trump’s plan to spend $5.6 billion to expand the wall at the Mexican border.
The deal that ended the shutdown didn’t provide any funding for Trump’s border wall and the government will remain open for the next three weeks while the debate continues. Here in Colorado though it’s clear: voters oppose expanding the wall by a 20 point margin – a 58% majority oppose Trump’s plan to spend $5.6 billion to expand the wall on the Mexican border, while only 38% support it.
Trump is held responsible for the government shutdown.
The longest government shutdown in U.S. history has ended and Trump appears to be the loser over the course of the past 35 days. A majority — 53% — of Colorado voters put the blame for the shutdown on Donald Trump, while one-third —33% — say Democrats in Congress are responsible, and 11% say they are both responsible.
Voters continue to dislike Donald Trump.
Colorado voters have remained consistently unfavorable toward Donald Trump over the past two years. In this poll, 60% of Colorado voters feel unfavorably toward Donald Trump — one point worse than the 59% unfavorable we saw in our poll just prior to the mid-term election, which was largely seen as a referendum on Trump. Democrats almost universally dislike Trump (95% unfavorable – 4% favorable) and Unaffiliated voters dislike him by 2-to-1 (65% unfavorable – 33% favorable), while he continues to appeal to his Republican base (84% favorable to 15% favorable).
Cory Gardner remains upside-down on his favorability.
Colorado’s Republican U.S. Senator Cory Gardner, who is up for re-election along with Donald
Trump in November 2020, is in troubled waters with 43% of voters holding unfavorable views
toward him and 39% favorable. In fact, the same percentage of voters — 39% — hold favorable views of Gardner and Donald Trump.
Jared Polis starts off on the right foot.
Colorado’s newly elected Governor, Jared Polis, begins his first term in good standing with
Colorado voters with 53% favorable toward him and 33% unfavorable, a very good ratio of 1.6 to 1. Polis’ 53% favorable rating is the same percentage that carried him to victory in November. Polis is very well liked by his base Democrats – 87% favorable to only 2% unfavorable.
Keating Research is recognized by Democrats and Republicans alike as providing extremely accurate polling in Colorado. This polling data is based on 500 live-interviewer telephone surveys conducted January 20-24, 2019 among “active” voters statewide in Colorado: 74% conducted on cell-phone and 26% conducted on a land line. For this sample of 500 interviews the worst case margin of error at the 95% level is plus or minus 4.4%.
View Crosstabs
View Topline Results
by OnSight | Sep 2015 | OnSight News
1. Impact.
With OnSight, you’re getting a team, not an individual. Together, we have experience and contacts in Colorado and nationally that few, if any, individuals can match. By hiring a firm, you benefit from the breadth and depth of our collective expertise and relationships we have cultivated in that time with the press and policy-shapers.
2. Cost.
We regularly deliver extraordinary results for less money than a traditional hire when factoring in an employee’s salary, benefits and related overhead (computer, office supplies, and stolen lunches from the company refrigerator).
3. Tools.
We have access to a suite of tools to help you monitor issues, companies or stories, distribute media releases to targeted reporters and to share your messages via earned and social media channels.
4. Creativity.
We are also a full-service creative firm, meaning we design and deliver websites, video, graphics, logos and other collateral material.
5. Flexibility.
As a professional communications firm, we have the staffing and bandwidth to respond to your needs in real time. We don’t keep banker’s hours; you can always reach one of us when there’s work to be done.
6. Honesty.
As outsiders, we are able to bring a perspective that is grounded in past experiences and help set realistic expectations.
7. Scalability (and dump-ability).
When there’s more work than one person can handle, we get it handled. And, when the work is done, your work with us can be done. We can arrange contracts around a single event, or for extended periods. And when it’s time to break up, we’ll let you keep you T-Shirts.
8. Efficiency.
We track hours, set benchmarks, measure performance and deliver excellent results on short notice. You only pay for what you need.
9. Practice.
Maybe you do need to hire an in-house PR professional. But engaging a PR firm first allows you to have your current communications needs met while taking the time to find the right employee and then giving them the time to get up to speed.
10. Results.
Whether working with CEOs of Fortune 100 companies or a high-profile political campaign, we have a reputation for delivering excellence that has earned us kudos from everyone from 5280 magazine to The Washington Post.
11. More brains.
When you put us to work, you get the benefit of our collective experience, our brainstorming sessions, side conversations and creative culture.
When you hire OnSight, you know you’re getting people who love what they do, and put their hearts and minds into it. You’re the expert in your field, but we’re curious and used to getting up to speed on complex, important topics in order to translate them into plainspeak and increase your reach.
by OnSight | Jun 2015 | Ride The Rockies
Cattle crossing a country road usually isn’t the most exciting thing, but it’s a different story when you’re creating content and capturing photography for Ride The Rockies.
We were a little ways outside of Crawford and heading towards Black Canyon of Gunnison National Park when we saw a brown mass in the road. A few bikers had stopped, and we pulled up in our staff car just in time to see the rancher zoom past us on a four-wheeler to herd his cattle back into their pen. As the riders waiting for the route to be cleared, we were able to capture a very fleeting moment, and then share it with thousands later that day on social media.
OnSight is lucky enough to work with Ride The Rockies on their Peak Pedalers blog, content and strategy for their social media channels, and photography during this week-long bike ride.
Before the week-long ride through some of Colorado’s most beautiful mountains and towns, we help select and train a group of bloggers called the Peak Pedalers who write posts about training, riding, and reflecting on the ride. During the event, we’re on the route right next to the cyclists, capturing those rare and beautiful moments to share on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, and Flickr. We’re able to provide weather and route updates for the riders as well as photos and blog posts for RTR fans jealously following along from home. During the ride, the homepage for Ride The Rockies turns over to live-feeds from those social media channels, so you can see where we’re at and what we’re up to at any moment during the ride.
Riders are all smiles at the finish line in Westcliffe.
The ride covered 464 miles, gained 31,217 feet of elevation, and climbed almost a dozen mountain passes. Of 2000 riders who participated, every state in the US was represented along with 11 other countries; the oldest rider was 90 years old, and the youngest 7.
Anyone could schedule posts from hundreds of miles away, but you’re only going to see the cattle crossings, the fans cheering, and the participants blood, sweat, tears, and joy if you’re out here with the riders.
DENVER — On the eve of the General Election, Democratic Senate nominee John Hickenlooper and presidential nominee Joe Biden maintain double-digit leads over their Republican counterparts among likely Colorado voters, according to the latest Keating-OnSight-Melanson (KOM) Colorado Poll.™