cory gardner | OnSight

The Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate is wide open

by OnSight | Jul 2019 | Elections, politics, Polling, Romanoff

Keating Research and OnSight Public Affairs have teamed up once again to provide informative, accurate results using live-interviewer telephone surveys and was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2016 Presidential and the 2018 Gubernatorial in Colorado. The Colorado U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Voter Poll was conducted July 1-3, 2019, and is the first installment in the effort to track the 2020 Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate in Colorado.

Highlights

There is a top tier of 3 names, one of whom is not a declared candidate:
- Former House Speaker Andrew Romanoff leads the field, with 23% support.
- Colorado Secretary of State Jena Griswold, who is not a declared candidate, came in second with 15% support.
- Former Sen. Mike Johnston rounds out the top 3 with 12% support
The next tier has work to do, as no candidate polls above 2%
With 42% undecided, the race among Democrats to take on Republican Sen. Cory Gardner remains wide open.

“We were curious to see where Secretary of State Griswold would stack up in this survey,” said pollster Chris Keating. “The fact that an undeclared entrant could garner second reaffirms the fact that this race is wide open.”

“As the lone person in the poll to have run and won a statewide contest, it’s easy to see why Griswold’s name continues to be floated as a potential candidate,” said OnSight’s Curtis Hubbard.

The survey of 500 likely 2020 primary voters was conducted July 1-3 and has a MOE of 4.4%

The Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate is wide open

In a hypothetical match-up in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, former House Speaker Andrew Romanoff leads the pack with 23% and an 8-point lead over Secretary of State Jena Griswold in second place with 15%, and former state Sen. Mike Johnston comes in third with 12%.

No other candidate garners more than 2% of the vote including Alice Madden (2%), John Walsh (2%) and Dan Baer (2%).
With 42% undecided, the race to take on Republican Sen. Cory Gardner in the General Election remains wide open. The fact that an undeclared entrant could garner second reaffirms this fact.

Romanoff leads among older voters (ages 50+) with 29% of the vote, followed by Griswold with 12% and Johnston with 11%.
Griswold leads among younger voters (ages 18-49) with 20% of the vote, followed by Johnston with 15% and Romanoff with 11%.

Jena Griswold had the highest net favorability ratings of all the candidates in this field

Griswold is the most well-liked by those who know her with a 7.5-to-1 ratio of 30% favorable to 4% unfavorable. Romanoff has a 3-to-1 ratio of 34% favorable to 11% unfavorable. Johnston also has a 3-to-1 ratio of 29% favorable to 9% unfavorable.

Colorado Senate DP Voter Poll July 2019 – TOPLINES FINAL

Next Senate Pac commissioned Keating Research to conduct the poll. Keating Research is recognized by Democrats and Republicans alike as providing extremely accurate election forecasting in Colorado. This polling data is based on 500 live-interviewer telephone surveys conducted July 1-3, 2019, among likely 2020 Democratic Primary voters statewide in Colorado: 60% conducted on cell-phone and 40% conducted on a land line. Registered Democrats are 70% of the sample and registered Unaffiliated are 30% of the sample. For this sample of 500, the worst case margin of error at the 95% level is plus or minus 4.4%.

Colorado voters still sour on Trump, Gardner

by admin | Jul 2019 | Elections, politics, Polling

The latest Keating-OnSight-Martin (KOM) poll of Colorado voters show headwinds for the re-election prospects of both President Donald Trump and Sen. Cory Gardner.

Results from our poll of 500 likely 2020 voters show:

Gardner and Trump both have steep hills to climb with Colorado voters as they pursue re-election. Notably, Gardner’s support among Republicans is significantly softer than support for Trump among the same group.
Overall, a majority (55%) of Colorado voters believe the state is headed in the right direction, and Gov. Jared Polis is an impressive +15 in the fav/unfav measure.
Two-thirds of Colorado voters say abortion should remain legal, which is a brutal headwind for proponents of a proposed anti-abortion ballot measure.
Another Blue Wave is on the horizon, as a higher percentage of Democrats say they will definitely vote (96%) compared to Republicans (92%).

“2020 is shaping up to be another strong year for Democrats given their own enthusiasm and unaffiliated voters’ continued dislike of both President Trump and Senator Gardner,” said OnSight’s Curtis Hubbard.

“Republicans are still looking for the right message and messengers for 2020,” said pollster Chris Keating. “Majorities of Democrats and unaffiliated voters continue to believe the state is headed in the right direction, believe abortion should be legal and hold unfavorable views of President Donald Trump.”

The survey was conducted June 24-27 and has a MOE of 4.4%.

Download:

Bringing climate to the forefront of Colorado politics

by OnSight | Dec 2014 | Campaign, politics, Press and Media, Print Communications, video, Web Communications

What do farmers markets, pumpkin carving, fog machines and smokestacks have in common? All were utilized by the OnSight team in the name of bringing climate change to the forefront for Colorado voters. This past fall, OnSight teamed up with NextGen Climate Colorado with the goal of making the issue of climate one of the top issues voters consider at the polls. How? By attracting earned media, organizing a stunt or two, and packaging creative content.

Over the course of nearly four months, the communications team was able to introduce and establish NextGen Climate with Colorado’s press corps, create an online presence and produce a steady stream of social media, blog content and videos, and develop and deliver localized messaging in regards to the 2014 senate race. During this time, the NextGen Climate Colorado team was able to establish itself as a serious player in Colorado politics and regularly influenced questions asked of candidates during debates and in coverage altogether. On multiple occasions outlined below, the team rose above the campaign season noise to receive earned-media attention amid stiff competition for coverage — notably during the Denver EPA hearings, the Club 20 Debates, with Cory Gardner’s House of Deception which coincided with Michelle Obama’s visit in Fort Collins, and the placement of the state director’s op-ed in the Denver Post.

Here’s a look at some of our favorite for NextGen Climate Colorado: