The advantage among unaffiliated voters is also significant because both candidates appear to have secured their party’s base voters. Registered Democrats favor Obama 90 percent to 6 percent while Republicans favor Romney 87 percent to 7 percent.
“In Colorado, it always comes down to who can appeal to the unaffiliated voters,” said Chris Keating of Keating Research, Inc. “They are now the largest voting block in the state and the candidate who wins them over is almost certain to take the state.”
. Only our September poll has shown an advantage outside the margin of error.
About one-third of those polled said they had already cast a ballot, and Obama held a 9-point advantage, 53 percent to Romney’s 44 percent, among early voters.
“Obama has held a thin but steady margin in the polls, but the difference in this race will likely come down to the campaign can get its people to cast votes,” said Mike Melanson of Onsight Public Affairs. “You can expect to see the campaigns concentrate on Colorado and a few other swing states as Election Day draws near.”
Obama leads by 10 points in the bellwether regions of Arapahoe and Jefferson counties. He continues to hold a significant advantage among women with 52 percent supporting him while 41 percent support Romney. The President also holds a nearly 4-to-1 advantage among Hispanic voters.
But Romney has made gains with several voting blocks since the conventions. He now holds a seven-point advantage among men, with 50 percent supporting the former Massachusetts governor and 43 percent supporting the President. The candidates had been virtually tied among men in August.
Romney has also expanded his lead among white voters, leading Obama 52 percent to 42 percent.
Voters said they favored Obama 46 percent to Romney’s 41 percent when it came to which candidate they thought of as “someone you can trust.”
This polling data is based on 502 live telephone interviews conducted October 23-24 among likely November 2012 voters statewide in Colorado. For this sample of 502 interviews the worst-case margin of error at the 95 percent level is plus or minus 4.4 percent. Respondents were chosen at random from a list of voters with phone numbers, including cell-phones.
Governor John Hickenlooper and former governor Bill Owens have teamed up to make sure Coloradans vote Yes on Amendment S. Along with billboards, a web site, and social media outreach, the campaign recorded and released a series of radio ads.
In the 7th Congressional District of Colorado, the going has gotten quite mudslingy, indeed.
Joe Coors, the Republican challenger, originally promised to run a positive campaign, Perlmutter was hopeful he’d actually get to talk about the issues and the policies he’s been fighting for.
But that didn’t last long. The attack ads have been brutal – even labeled “deceitful” by the Denver Post – and while the Perlmutter campaign is fighting back with frequent Fact Checks, they also decided it was time to have a little fun:
Due to the extreme amounts of mudslinging from Joe Coors in the last few weeks, they’ve had to ask all their campaign staff to wear protective ponchos at all times.
While Ed Perlmutter is disappointed his opponent wouldn’t keep his positive pledge, Ed hasn’t lost his focus on job creation, serving our veterans, and making sure our communities’ families are thriving.
The national media spotlight turned on Denver in early October, as the first Presidential Debate got underway at the University of Denver. Looking for new angles and local expertise, reporters turned to OnSight Public Affairs’ Mike Melanson for information and insight.
Quoted in the LA Times and at NBCPolitics.com, Melanson’s pithy and incisive commentary about the character of western voters helped bring the rest of the nation up to speed on the tenor of the contest in this battleground state.
With the election only weeks away and the candidates in what — at the time of this writing– appears to be a statistical dead heat, continue to watch this space for new polling data and insight into what it all means.
If you missed the inaugural Pedal The Plains Ride, there’s plenty of ways to catch up! The event was a major success, with close to a thousand riders (including Governor Hickenlooper) tackling the rolling hills of the Eastern Plains of Colorado.
Pedal The Plains Facebook page and Twitter feed, featuring tons of pics, updates, and comments from participants and sponsors.
Day 1 PTP blog:
The first day of the first ever Viaero Wireless Pedal The Plains is in the books, and what a great day it was. It dawned crisp, calm, and clear, with volunteers bustling around Old Thresher’s Village in Yuma. Riders and locals pouring into the village over the course of the. Pics from Day 1.
Day 2 PTP blog:
The "Top Hogs" performance was a crowd-pleaser in Burlington!
Saturday brought a headwind to frustrate riders, but also rolling hills, gorgeous vistas, and educational stops including tours of the historical Beecher Island battle ground. Trivia signage dotted the roadside to keep cyclists alert and informed about the history and industry of the local countryside. Pics from Day 2 and Party on the Plains.
Day 3 PTP blog:
A slight overcast on Sunday allowed riders to ease more smoothly into the morning, and kept temperatures seasonably cool and pleasant throughout the day. After loosening up sore muscles heading west into a stiff and chilly headwind, the course turned northward, and the wind assisted riders along. Over rolling sage-brush hills, through now-familiar corn crops, past farmsteads both active and abandoned, and alongside some unexpected spectators, cyclists pedaled the ride’s longest leg, covered over 80 miles. Pics from Day 3.
Pedal The Plains was designed to provide numerous economic benefits and opportunities for host communities’ lodging, restaurant, retail businesses, as well as entertainment, community meals, home stays and transportation.
All event proceeds will benefit The Denver Post Community Foundation in support of Future Farmers of America, 4-H and Rural Solutions.
