Biden +12 over Trump; Hickenlooper +11 over Gardner; and majority oppose Proposition 115 abortion initiative
DENVER — On the eve of the General Election, Democratic Senate nominee John Hickenlooper and presidential nominee Joe Biden maintain double-digit leads over their Republican counterparts among likely Colorado voters, according to the latest Keating-OnSight-Melanson (KOM) Colorado Poll.™
- Biden leads Donald Trump by 12 points (53% – 41%, with 2% undecided). And in the critical suburban counties where Colorado elections are won and lost, Biden leads Trump by 22 points (58% – 36%, with 1% undecided).
- In the U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent former Gov. John Hickenlooper and Republican incumbent Cory Gardner, the Democrat has an 11-point lead (53% – 42%, with 3% undecided).
“We just had a blue moon, and now we’re going to see another Blue Wave,” said pollster Chris Keating, of Keating Research. “Biden and Hickenlooper’s numbers appear to be moving closer together, which means that as Coloradans cast their vote they are most likely to vote the same way in both races. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Senate and Presidential numbers in Colorado are very similar on election night.”
President Trump trails Biden by 41 points (68% – 27%) among Hispanic/Latino voters, and white voters support Biden by double digits (52% – 42%). Biden leads Trump by 22 points among all women (58% – 36%); by 30 points among women age 18-49 (61%-31%); by 32 points (60% – 28%) among unaffiliated women; and by 40 points, (65% – 25%) among suburban women.
“Donald Trump’s racist, misogynist and ethics-averse presidency is coming to a close largely because the voters needed to win elections — women and people of color — have seen him for the fraud he is,” said Curtis Hubbard, of OnSight Public Affairs. “That’s not just true in Colorado, but nationally, which is why Trump and his Republican enablers are working so hard to undermine fair elections.”
Prop 115
A strong majority (56% – 38%) oppose Proposition 115, which would prohibit abortion after 22 weeks of pregnancy.
“Proposition 115 will go down easily even though the anti-abortion groups tried their best to write a confusing ballot question,” said Mike Melanson, a Democratic strategist. “Colorado voters see it for what it is: Another attempt to interfere with women’s rights to make their own healthcare decisions.”
In a mid-October KOM Colorado Poll™, 70 percent of likely voters supported upholding the precedent set in Roe v. Wade that legalized abortion.
Supreme Court
Coloradans are almost evenly divided when it comes to expanding the number of justices on the Supreme Court — with 52% saying the no. of justices should not be increased and 48% saying that the court should be expanded.
Complete Poll Results
- Topline results (PDF)
- Crosstabs (PDF)
ABOUT THIS POLL: Keating Research, OnSight Public Affairs and The Melanson Group jointly release the KOM Colorado Poll™ several times each year. The KOM Colorado Poll™ was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2012 and 2016 Presidential elections, correctly predicting that Clinton would win Colorado by 5 points in 2016 and that Barack Obama would win Colorado by 4 points in 2012.
The latest KOM Colorado Poll™ was based on online interviews with 502 likely Colorado voters, Oct. 29-Nov. 1, 2020, and has a MOE of plus or minus 4.4%.