PPP Poll: Weiser surges to 9-point lead in Colorado’s Democratic primary for Governor

PPP Poll: Weiser surges to 9-point lead in Colorado’s Democratic primary for Governor

Attorney General Phil Weiser sees solid increases in support, favorability as Election Day nears

DENVER — Attorney General Phil Weiser has surged to a 9-point lead in the matchup against Sen. Michael Bennet in Colorado’s June 30 Democratic primary for Governor, according to results of a Public Policy Polling poll released today.

The survey of likely Democratic primary voters found 45% supported Weiser, 36% supported Bennet, and 19% were still undecided. Support for Weiser has increased by 15 points since a June 2 PPP survey found him at 30%. Bennet’s support is stagnant, with the same percentage (36%) of support in this survey as he had earlier this month.

“It’s clear that Weiser’s people-powered, Colorado-focused campaign is striking a chord over Bennet’s billionaire-backed, D.C-driven effort,” said Curtis Hubbard, a spokesman for Fighting for Colorado, which paid for the poll. “Mike Bloomberg spending nearly $5 million to support Bennet and the Senator’s still having to ‘loan’ his campaign $1 million at the last minute are signs of a flailing effort that is not connecting with voters.”

The poll of 600 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted June 24-25 via landline and text by Public Policy Polling for Fighting for Colorado. It has a margin of error of ± 4%.

Weiser has seen a 5-point increase in his favorability to +33 (49% favorable, 16% unfavorable) from +28 (41% favorable, 13% unfavorable) earlier this month. Bennet’s favorability, meanwhile, has dive-bombed 13 points to +16 (48% favorable, 32% unfavorable), down from +29 (50% favorable, 21% unfavorable) earlier in June.

“The dynamics of this race always suggested that Bennet was well-known to Colorado voters, having served 17 years in the U.S. Senate, while Weiser was a lesser-known but well-liked by those who knew him,” Hubbard said. “It takes 50 percent +1 to win, but in the closing days of the campaign, Weiser’s ceiling is higher than that of the incumbent Senator.”

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About Us: Fighting for Colorado is a political action committee (PAC) supporting Phil Weiser for Governor.

Paid for by Fighting for Colorado —Ashley Stevens, Registered Agent

Weiser and Bennet locked in a tight race in Colorado’s Democratic primary for Governor

Weiser and Bennet locked in a tight race in Colorado’s Democratic primary for Governor

Michael Bennet’s polling numbers have dropped significantly over the last 3 months

DENVER — Attorney General Phil Weiser and Sen. Michael Bennet are locked in a tight race with one month remaining before Colorado’s June 30 Democratic primary for Governor, according to results of a Fighting for Colorado poll of the race released today.

In a poll of likely Democratic primary voters, 36% said they would support Bennet, 30% Weiser, and 34% were undecided.

The poll of 505 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted June 1-2 via landline and text by Public Policy Polling. It has a margin of error of ± 4.4%.

In February, a poll circulated by Bennet supporters showed the Senator with a 27-point lead.

“With a third of the electorate undecided, this is anyone’s race — but I would much prefer to be in Weiser’s position of building support compared to bleeding support like Bennet,” said Curtis Hubbard, a spokesman for Fighting for Colorado. “Being the billionaire-backed candidate of D.C who too often supports Trump is a bad spot for Bennet to be in as voters start paying closer attention to this contest.”

In the latest poll, Bennet has a +29 favorability rating (50% favorable, 21% unfavorable, 29% unsure) compared to Wesier’s +28 (41% favorable, 13% unfavorable and 46% not sure).

“While Bennet continues to have a name ID advantage built largely off of spending 17 years as Colorado’s U.S. Senator in Washington, D.C., Weiser is bolstering his name ID and leads Bennet  48-26, among those who have heard of him,” Hubbard added.

Click here for Toplines and a pollster’s memo.

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About Us: Fighting for Colorado is a political action committee (PAC) supporting Phil Weiser for Governor.

Voters strongly back Biden, American Jobs Plan in first of 2-part KOM Colorado Poll™

Voters strongly back Biden, American Jobs Plan in first of 2-part KOM Colorado Poll™

More than two-thirds of Colorado Republicans say 2020 election “was stolen from Donald Trump”

DENVER — Having reached the 100-days-in-office mark, President Joe Biden continues to be viewed favorably by a majority of Coloradans — who also give high marks to the president’s proposed $2 trillion American Jobs Plan — according to the latest Keating–OnSight–Melanson (KOM) Colorado Poll™ released today.

Polling results for Biden, Trump, and Boebert graphicOther notable findings:

  • More than two-thirds (67%) of Republicans surveyed said the November 2020 election “was stolen from Donald Trump;”
  • Former President Trump is viewed unfavorably by nearly 6-in-10 voters (39% favorable, 58% favorable);
  • and Congressman Lauren Boebert is viewed favorably by less than a third of voters (28% favorable, 50% unfavorable).

This round of KOM polling will be released in two parts. Part one measures voters’ attitudes toward several federal officials and policies. Part two, which will be released on Monday, measures voter attitudes toward state issues — notably the COVID-19 pandemic and vaccines.

Biden’s +14 on favorability (56% favorable, 42% unfavorable) is even higher than in our October KOM Colorado Poll (+7: 53% favorable, 46% unfavorable). His favorable standing is driven by Democrats (89% favorable, 10% unfavorable) and unaffiliated voters (57% favorable, 41% unfavorable).

“Biden continues to find strong support with the voters that propelled him to a convincing, 13-point win against Trump in Colorado in November,” said Curtis Hubbard, principal at OnSight Public Affairs. “Whether it’s his disciplined, thoughtful response to the COVID-19 pandemic or his plans to create jobs and spur economic growth via making long-overdue investments in infrastructure, voters clearly feel like Biden is delivering.”

Six-in-10 voters (60% support, 38% oppose) support increasing taxes on corporations to pay for Biden’s $2 trillion infrastructure investments, dubbed the American Jobs Plan. In addition, nearly six-in-10 (59% support, 38% oppose) support developing zero-emissions trucks, electric vehicles, and the supporting infrastructure as part of that plan.

“Coloradans understand that we have to make 21st Century investments in infrastructure to create jobs, tackle climate change, and compete in a global economy,” said Mike Melanson, “Any infrastructure plan must make serious investments in clean energy and electric vehicles to reduce pollution and tackle our climate crisis.”

Poling results for infrastructure graphic

While 61% of voters said “Joe Biden legitimately won the election” the 28% who said it was “stolen from Donald Trump” was driven largely by Republicans (with 67% of all Republicans saying it was stolen).

“Most Coloradans believe that President Biden won fair and square,” said pollster Chris Keating. “However, as we see in this poll and recently when the Republican chair of Colorado’s Congressional Redistricting Commission was removed from that post, election conspiracies are not a fringe view among Republicans in Colorado — and frankly that’s dangerous for our democracy.”

The KOM Colorado Poll conducted April 20-26, 2021, is the most recent installment in our effort to track voter opinions on the top political and public-policy issues of the day. Part two will be released on Monday, May 1. Conducted regularly by Keating Research, OnSight Public Affairs, and Mike Melanson — the KOM Colorado Poll provides informative, accurate results using online surveys and was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2020 and 2016 Presidential elections and the 2018 Colorado Gubernatorial race.

For complete results, please see:

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The April KOM Colorado Poll™ was based on online interviews with 528 likely Colorado voters, April 20-26, 2021, and had a MOE of plus or minus 4.3%.

John Hickenlooper, Joe Biden hold double-digit leads in latest KOM Colorado Poll™

John Hickenlooper, Joe Biden hold double-digit leads in latest KOM Colorado Poll™

Biden +12 over Trump; Hickenlooper +11 over Gardner; and majority oppose Proposition 115 abortion initiative

KOM Top of the Ticket Oct/Nov 2020 Poll ResultsDENVER — On the eve of the General Election, Democratic Senate nominee John Hickenlooper and presidential nominee Joe Biden maintain double-digit leads over their Republican counterparts among likely Colorado voters, according to the latest Keating-OnSight-Melanson (KOM) Colorado Poll.™

  • Biden leads Donald Trump by 12 points (53% – 41%, with 2% undecided). And in the critical suburban counties where Colorado elections are won and lost, Biden leads Trump by 22 points (58% – 36%, with 1% undecided).
  • In the U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent former Gov. John Hickenlooper and Republican incumbent Cory Gardner, the Democrat has an 11-point lead (53% – 42%, with 3% undecided).

“We just had a blue moon, and now we’re going to see another Blue Wave,” said pollster Chris Keating, of Keating Research. “Biden and Hickenlooper’s numbers appear to be moving closer together, which means that as Coloradans cast their vote they are most likely to vote the same way in both races. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Senate and Presidential numbers in Colorado are very similar on election night.”

President Trump trails Biden by 41 points (68% – 27%) among Hispanic/Latino voters, and white voters support Biden by double digits (52% – 42%). Biden leads Trump by 22 points among all women (58% – 36%); by 30 points among women age 18-49 (61%-31%); by 32 points (60% – 28%) among unaffiliated women; and by 40 points, (65% – 25%) among suburban women.

“Donald Trump’s racist, misogynist and ethics-averse presidency is coming to a close largely because the voters needed to win elections — women and people of color — have seen him for the fraud he is,” said Curtis Hubbard, of OnSight Public Affairs. “That’s not just true in Colorado, but nationally, which is why Trump and his Republican enablers are working so hard to undermine fair elections.”

Prop 115

A strong majority (56% – 38%) oppose Proposition 115, which would prohibit abortion after 22 weeks of pregnancy.

“Proposition 115 will go down easily even though the anti-abortion groups tried their best to write a confusing ballot question,” said Mike Melanson, a Democratic strategist. “Colorado voters see it for what it is: Another attempt to interfere with women’s rights to make their own healthcare decisions.”

In a mid-October KOM Colorado Poll™, 70 percent of likely voters supported upholding the precedent set in Roe v. Wade that legalized abortion.

Supreme Court

Coloradans are almost evenly divided when it comes to expanding the number of justices on the Supreme Court — with 52% saying the no. of justices should not be increased and 48% saying that the court should be expanded.

Complete Poll Results

ABOUT THIS POLL: Keating Research, OnSight Public Affairs and The Melanson Group jointly release the KOM Colorado Poll™ several times each year. The KOM Colorado Poll™ was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2012 and 2016 Presidential elections, correctly predicting that Clinton would win Colorado by 5 points in 2016 and that Barack Obama would win Colorado by 4 points in 2012.

The latest KOM Colorado Poll™ was based on online interviews with 502 likely Colorado voters, Oct. 29-Nov. 1, 2020, and has a MOE of plus or minus 4.4%. 

John Hickenlooper, Joe Biden lead comfortably in latest KOM Colorado Poll™

John Hickenlooper, Joe Biden lead comfortably in latest KOM Colorado Poll™

DENVER — Less than three weeks out from the General Election, Democratic Senate nominee John Hickenlooper and presidential nominee Joe Biden maintain double-digit leads over their Republican counterparts among likely Colorado voters, according to the latest results from the Keating-OnSight-Melanson (KOM) Colorado Poll.™ 

The poll also shows 60% of Coloradans oppose efforts to rush a Supreme Court nominee through confirmation this year and strong opposition to overturning benchmark rulings on same-sex marriage, Roe v. Wade, and the Affordable Care Act.

  • Biden leads Donald Trump by 15 points (54% – 39%, with 4% undecided). And in the critical suburban counties where Colorado elections are won and lost, Biden leads Trump by 23 points (58% – 35%, with 5% undecided).

  • In the U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent Republican Cory Gardner and former Gov. John Hickenlooper, the Democrat has a 10-point lead (51% – 41%, with 7% undecided).

CLICK TO ENLARGE

CLICK TO ENLARGE

CLICK TO ENLARGE

“Trump’s path to defeat is a sight to behold,” said pollster Chris Keating, of Keating Research. “He’s overwhelmingly disliked by Hispanic and younger voters — and he’s doing worse with voters over age 50 than he did four years ago. He’s not popular with women overall, suburban women in particular, or suburban voters in general. Add all that up, and Trump is headed for a classic yard-sale on election day.”

President Trump’s scare tactics have failed miserably in Colorado, as he trails Biden by 45 points (70% – 25%) among Hispanic voters and white voters support Biden by double digits (52% – 41%). Trump is also failing with women — trailing Biden by 23 points (58% – 35%); trailing Biden by 34 points (60% – 26%) among unaffiliated women; and trailing Biden by 36 points, (65% – 29%) among suburban women.

COVID-19/SUPREME COURT

Trump’s poor standing among Colorado voters is owed somewhat to views that he “acted irresponsibly in his handling of the risk of infecting the people around him with the coronavirus” (62% agree vs. 31% disagree) and in his overall handling of the pandemic (61% disapproval vs. 35% approval). His regular departures from the truth also play a factor, as 61% of voters say the President is “dishonest and tells lies.”

His handling of the pandemic is a direct contrast to that of Colorado Gov. Jared Polis, whose pandemic response found approval from 62% of voters.

“Unsuccessfully wishing a pandemic away, stifling scientists and willfully ignoring the recommendations of public health experts is, not surprisingly, an unpopular stance for the President of the United States,” said Mike Melanson. “Conversely, we continue to see strong voter support for Gov. Polis’ honest, data- and best-practices driven response.”

Asked for their views on filling the vacancy created following the recent death of U.S. Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, 60% of likely voters said the next justice  should be nominated by the winner of the presidential election and voted on by the U.S. Senate next year.

The poll found overwhelming support for

  • keeping same-sex marriage legal (75% – 25%);

  • upholding the precedent set in Roe v. Wade that legalized abortion (70% – 30%);

  • and upholding the Affordable Care Act (58% – 42%).

“Trump’s coronavirus-catastrophe, coupled with Republicans’ ongoing court-jacking exercise, put the party at odds with the vast majority of Colorado voters,” said Curtis Hubbard of OnSight Public Affairs. “Given the Blue Wave of 2018 and the Blue Tsunami that’s on the horizon, it’s hard to see when the GOP might once again find favor with a Colorado electorate that is increasingly made up of young, diverse and well-educated voters.”

For complete poll results, please see the topline results and crosstabs.

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“Trump’s path to defeat is a sight to behold,” said pollster Chris Keating, of Keating Research. “He’s overwhelmingly disliked by Hispanic and younger voters — and he’s doing worse with voters over age 50 than he did four years ago. He’s not popular with women overall, suburban women in particular, or suburban voters in general. Add all that up, and Trump is headed for a classic yard-sale on election day.”

President Trump’s scare tactics have failed miserably in Colorado, as he trails Biden by 45 points (70% – 25%) among Hispanic voters and white voters support Biden by double digits (52% – 41%). Trump is also failing with women — trailing Biden by 23 points (58% – 35%); trailing Biden by 34 points (60% – 26%) among unaffiliated women; and trailing Biden by 36 points, (65% – 29%) among suburban women.

COVID-19/SUPREME COURT

Trump’s poor standing among Colorado voters is owed somewhat to views that he “acted irresponsibly in his handling of the risk of infecting the people around him with the coronavirus” (62% agree vs. 31% disagree) and in his overall handling of the pandemic (61% disapproval vs. 35% approval). His regular departures from the truth also play a factor, as 61% of voters say the President is “dishonest and tells lies.”

His handling of the pandemic is a direct contrast to that of Colorado Gov. Jared Polis, whose pandemic response found approval from 62% of voters.

“Unsuccessfully wishing a pandemic away, stifling scientists and willfully ignoring the recommendations of public health experts is, not surprisingly, an unpopular stance for the President of the United States,” said Mike Melanson. “Conversely, we continue to see strong voter support for Gov. Polis’ honest, data- and best-practices driven response.”

Asked for their views on filling the vacancy created following the recent death of U.S. Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, 60% of likely voters said the next justice  should be nominated by the winner of the presidential election and voted on by the U.S. Senate next year.

The poll found overwhelming support for

  • keeping same-sex marriage legal (75% – 25%);

  • upholding the precedent set in Roe v. Wade that legalized abortion (70% – 30%);

  • and upholding the Affordable Care Act (58% – 42%).

“Trump’s coronavirus-catastrophe, coupled with Republicans’ ongoing court-jacking exercise, put the party at odds with the vast majority of Colorado voters,” said Curtis Hubbard of OnSight Public Affairs. “Given the Blue Wave of 2018 and the Blue Tsunami that’s on the horizon, it’s hard to see when the GOP might once again find favor with a Colorado electorate that is increasingly made up of young, diverse and well-educated voters.”

For complete poll results, please see the topline results and crosstabs.

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ABOUT THIS POLL: Keating Research, OnSight Public Affairs and Mike Melanson jointly release the KOM Colorado Poll™ several times each year. The KOM Colorado Poll™ was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2012 and 2016 Presidential elections, correctly predicting that Clinton would win Colorado by 5 points in 2016 and that Barack Obama would win Colorado by 4 points in 2012.

The latest KOM Colorado Poll™ was based on interviews with 519 likely Colorado voters, Oct. 8-13, 2020, and has a MOE of plus or minus 4.3%.