Senator Udall has been asking his constituents to weigh in on a number of important issues that Congress needs to resolve by the end of the year.
With time growing short, the Senator has been making sure Coloradans know that their voices matter in Washington, and their efforts to speak up on updating the filibuster rules, extending the production tax credit, and finding a fair solution to the fiscal cliff can push legislators to act.
Weigh in here:
The Keating/OnSight polls won Curtis Hubbards “closest to the pin” award.
Getting voters to understand the Amendment — which sets out to modernize government so that we hire and promote the best employees, increase accountability and help veterans who serve our country — was an uphill battle. A wonky and technical issue, it took a creative integrated campaign of online, radio, and billboard ads to get voters educated.
But with a unanimous vote of approval from the state legislature, endorsements from nearly every newspaper in the state, and an outpouring of support from both the business and non-profit community, Coloradans voted to pass Amendment S by a double-digit margin!
A win for veterans and the efficiency of our state government!
OnSight Public Affairs worked with Keating Research to run a series of polls leading up to the election. Cited by the NYTimes’ Nate Silver the day before the election, the OnSight/Keating polls were roundly recognized as among the most accurate, getting kudos from both Fox31’s Eli Stokols:
In Colorado, conservatives dismissing the work of pollster Chris Keating on the grounds that he’s worked for Hickenlooper and Udall, overlooked a series of polls that were spot-on. A day before the election, Keating had Obama leading Romney 50-46; it was a four-point win for Obama, 52-48, in the end.
And The Denver Post’s Curtis Hubbard, who gave our polls his Gold Medal award.
A series of web videos and online fundraising efforts managed by OnSight helped propel incumbent Ed Perlmutter to a 12 point victory in the race to represent the 7th Congressional District. Despite re-districting which made the race more competitive, and beer magnate Joe Coors’ (who poured millions of dollars of his personal fortune into the race) best efforts to discredit Ed with ads that made national attention for the dishonesty, Ed Perlmutter’s focus on positive advertising and his record of working hard to represent his constituents served him well in his campaign.
Congratulations to Ed, as both fans and constituents we’re excited to see you remain in office!
Throughout the campaign season, with Colorado in the media spotlight as both a swing state and the host of the first of the Presidential debates, OnSight’s electoral expertise was in demand:
The President has maintained an edge over Romney in Colorado on support from women, Hispanic voters and unaffiliated voters.
DENVER _ President Barack Obama leads Gov. Mitt Romney 50 percent to 46 percent in the last of four live-interview polls tracking the presidential race in Colorado.
The poll – conducted Friday, Saturday, and Sunday – is the latest in a series of tracking polls released by Keating Research, Inc. and OnSight Public Affairs. It marks the first time the President has reached the 50 percent mark since tracking began in August.
“Obama’s advantage with key demographic groups like unaffiliated voters and women has given him a narrow but sturdy lead at the end of this election cycle,” said pollster Chris Keating. “It certainly appears that Colorado will come down to which campaign can turn out voters.”
More than two-thirds, or 69 percent, of Colorado voters have already cast ballots, and among those early voters, Obama has a 5-point advantage with 51 percent supporting Obama and 46 percent supporting Romney. The President leads 48 percent to 45 percent with voters who said they had not yet cast a ballot.
In a state where more voters are registered unaffiliated than Democrat or Republican, Obama leads by 25 points among unaffiliated voters with 58 percent backing the President and 33 percent supporting Romney. Unaffiliated voters are seen a key factor in this race because candidates have locked up support with their base voters. Registered Democrats give 92 percent support to Obama with 5 percent supporting Romney while 92 percent of Republicans favor Romney to just 6 percent who favor Obama.
The President is also getting overwhelming support from Hispanic voters, with 73 percent support to Romney’s 21 percent support. Romney leads by 5 points with white voters with 50 percent favoring the GOP candidate while 45 percent support Obama.
Obama has maintained a significant lead among women in Colorado, and he holds a double-digit lead on the eve of Election Day. Fifty-three percent of women favor Obama, while 43 percent support Romney. Romney leads Obama among men 48 percent to 47 percent.
Previous OnSight/Keating polls this cycle showed Obama maintaining a narrow lead:
For this sample of 603 interviews, the worst-case margin of error at the 95% level is plus or minus 4.0 percent. Respondents were chosen at random from a list of likely voters with phone numbers, including cell-phones.
Latest poll shows race tightening, but the President maintains significant advantages among unaffiliated voters and in suburban communities.
DENVER _ President Barack Obama leads Gov. Mitt Romney 48 percent to 45 percent in a live interview survey of likely Colorado voters.
The poll, conducted Tuesday and Wednesday, is the latest in a series of tracking polls released by Keating Research, Inc. and OnSight Public Affairs. It shows the race for the Centennial State tightening, but Obama continues to maintain a lead among the state’s unaffiliated voters. He leads Romney 52 percent to 38 percent among unaffiliated voters, which make up about a third of the electorate.
The advantage among unaffiliated voters is also significant because both candidates appear to have secured their party’s base voters. Registered Democrats favor Obama 90 percent to 6 percent while Republicans favor Romney 87 percent to 7 percent.
“In Colorado, it always comes down to who can appeal to the unaffiliated voters,” said Chris Keating of Keating Research, Inc. “They are now the largest voting block in the state and the candidate who wins them over is almost certain to take the state.”
Obama has consistently held a lead in all of our 2012 Presidential tracking polls, including a poll in August that showed Obama up 48 percent to 44 percent and a poll following the conventions showing the President up 49 percent to 44 percent
Read the poll
. Only our September poll has shown an advantage outside the margin of error.
About one-third of those polled said they had already cast a ballot, and Obama held a 9-point advantage, 53 percent to Romney’s 44 percent, among early voters.
“Obama has held a thin but steady margin in the polls, but the difference in this race will likely come down to the campaign can get its people to cast votes,” said Mike Melanson of Onsight Public Affairs. “You can expect to see the campaigns concentrate on Colorado and a few other swing states as Election Day draws near.”
Obama leads by 10 points in the bellwether regions of Arapahoe and Jefferson counties. He continues to hold a significant advantage among women with 52 percent supporting him while 41 percent support Romney. The President also holds a nearly 4-to-1 advantage among Hispanic voters.
But Romney has made gains with several voting blocks since the conventions. He now holds a seven-point advantage among men, with 50 percent supporting the former Massachusetts governor and 43 percent supporting the President. The candidates had been virtually tied among men in August.
Romney has also expanded his lead among white voters, leading Obama 52 percent to 42 percent.
Voters said they favored Obama 46 percent to Romney’s 41 percent when it came to which candidate they thought of as “someone you can trust.”
This polling data is based on 502 live telephone interviews conducted October 23-24 among likely November 2012 voters statewide in Colorado. For this sample of 502 interviews the worst-case margin of error at the 95 percent level is plus or minus 4.4 percent. Respondents were chosen at random from a list of voters with phone numbers, including cell-phones.
Governor John Hickenlooper and former governor Bill Owens have teamed up to make sure Coloradans vote Yes on Amendment S. Along with billboards, a web site, and social media outreach, the campaign recorded and released a series of radio ads.
Take a listen:
The ads are playing on radio stations all over Colorado. For a look behind the scenes with the talent, check out the outtakes reel: