by OnSight | Oct 2019 | Elections, Hickenlooper, politics, Polling
Trump, Gardner face sizeable favorability gaps one year out from election.
Hickenlooper holds 11-point lead in matchup of 2020 frontrunners.DENVER — A majority of Colorado voters support the Congressional impeachment inquiry into President Trump, and a plurality support impeaching the president and removing him from office, according to results from the latest Keating–OnSight–Martin (KOM) Colorado Poll™ released today.
A majority (54%) of Colorado voters said they support the impeachment inquiry that Congress initiated in late September, while 43% said they are opposed.
A plurality (48%) of respondents said Trump should be impeached and removed from office – with 44% saying he should not.
“The impeachment inquiry is supported by strong majorities of Democrats and unaffiliated voters across Colorado. And support for impeaching and removing Trump from office is particularly strong in suburban swing counties near Denver,” said Curtis Hubbard, of OnSight Public Affairs. “Taken together, that is a horrible combination for Republicans as the 2020 elections draw near.”
The poll found Trump with a 22-point favorability gap (38% favorable to 60% unfavorable) which is his worst standing among Colorado voters since being sworn in.
Colorado U.S. Senator Cory Gardner’s favorability is also at an all-time low for the KOM Colorado Poll. In the most recent survey, Gardner has an 11-point favorability gap, as 34% Colorado voters hold a favorable view of him compared to 45% who hold an unfavorable view.
“It’s no wonder Gardner is routinely called the most vulnerable incumbent Senator in the country. He’s barely above water with members of his own party, and the Trump anchor is pulling him beneath the surface with unaffiliated voters, whose support is a necessary ingredient for success in Colorado,” said pollster Chris Keating, of Keating Research.In a head-to-head matchup with Democratic frontrunner John Hickenlooper, Gardner trails by 11 points, with just 42% support compared to 53% for the former Governor.
Hickenlooper, who entered the race two months ago, is viewed favorably by 51% of respondents, compared to 35% who hold and unfavorable view.
“Hickenlooper is dominating Gardner among all of the key groups and areas needed to win statewide races in Colorado – women, unaffiliated voters, Latinos, suburban swing counties near Denver, and college-educated voters,” said Jake Martin of Martin Campaigns. “There’s still 12 months until Election Day, but the headwinds facing Republicans are fierce.”
The KOM Colorado poll of 500 likely November 2020 voters was conducted October 10-14, 2019, and has a margin of error of +/- 4.4%. This is the firms’ third poll of 2019. The KOM Poll was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2018 Colorado gubernatorial and the 2016 presidential races.
by OnSight | Jul 2019 | Elections, politics, Polling, Romanoff
Keating Research and OnSight Public Affairs have teamed up once again to provide informative, accurate results using live-interviewer telephone surveys and was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2016 Presidential and the 2018 Gubernatorial in Colorado. The Colorado U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Voter Poll was conducted July 1-3, 2019, and is the first installment in the effort to track the 2020 Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate in Colorado.
Highlights
- There is a top tier of 3 names, one of whom is not a declared candidate:
- Former House Speaker Andrew Romanoff leads the field, with 23% support.
- Colorado Secretary of State Jena Griswold, who is not a declared candidate, came in second with 15% support.
- Former Sen. Mike Johnston rounds out the top 3 with 12% support
- The next tier has work to do, as no candidate polls above 2%
- With 42% undecided, the race among Democrats to take on Republican Sen. Cory Gardner remains wide open.
“We were curious to see where Secretary of State Griswold would stack up in this survey,” said pollster Chris Keating. “The fact that an undeclared entrant could garner second reaffirms the fact that this race is wide open.”
“As the lone person in the poll to have run and won a statewide contest, it’s easy to see why Griswold’s name continues to be floated as a potential candidate,” said OnSight’s Curtis Hubbard.
The survey of 500 likely 2020 primary voters was conducted July 1-3 and has a MOE of 4.4%
The Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate is wide open
In a hypothetical match-up in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, former House Speaker Andrew Romanoff leads the pack with 23% and an 8-point lead over Secretary of State Jena Griswold in second place with 15%, and former state Sen. Mike Johnston comes in third with 12%.
No other candidate garners more than 2% of the vote including Alice Madden (2%), John Walsh (2%) and Dan Baer (2%).
With 42% undecided, the race to take on Republican Sen. Cory Gardner in the General Election remains wide open. The fact that an undeclared entrant could garner second reaffirms this fact.
- Romanoff leads among older voters (ages 50+) with 29% of the vote, followed by Griswold with 12% and Johnston with 11%.
- Griswold leads among younger voters (ages 18-49) with 20% of the vote, followed by Johnston with 15% and Romanoff with 11%.
Jena Griswold had the highest net favorability ratings of all the candidates in this field
Griswold is the most well-liked by those who know her with a 7.5-to-1 ratio of 30% favorable to 4% unfavorable. Romanoff has a 3-to-1 ratio of 34% favorable to 11% unfavorable. Johnston also has a 3-to-1 ratio of 29% favorable to 9% unfavorable.
Colorado Senate DP Voter Poll July 2019 – TOPLINES FINAL
Next Senate Pac commissioned Keating Research to conduct the poll. Keating Research is recognized by Democrats and Republicans alike as providing extremely accurate election forecasting in Colorado. This polling data is based on 500 live-interviewer telephone surveys conducted July 1-3, 2019, among likely 2020 Democratic Primary voters statewide in Colorado: 60% conducted on cell-phone and 40% conducted on a land line. Registered Democrats are 70% of the sample and registered Unaffiliated are 30% of the sample. For this sample of 500, the worst case margin of error at the 95% level is plus or minus 4.4%.
by admin | Jul 2019 | Elections, politics, Polling
The latest Keating-OnSight-Martin (KOM) poll of Colorado voters show headwinds for the re-election prospects of both President Donald Trump and Sen. Cory Gardner.
Results from our poll of 500 likely 2020 voters show:
- Gardner and Trump both have steep hills to climb with Colorado voters as they pursue re-election. Notably, Gardner’s support among Republicans is significantly softer than support for Trump among the same group.
- Overall, a majority (55%) of Colorado voters believe the state is headed in the right direction, and Gov. Jared Polis is an impressive +15 in the fav/unfav measure.
- Two-thirds of Colorado voters say abortion should remain legal, which is a brutal headwind for proponents of a proposed anti-abortion ballot measure.
- Another Blue Wave is on the horizon, as a higher percentage of Democrats say they will definitely vote (96%) compared to Republicans (92%).
“2020 is shaping up to be another strong year for Democrats given their own enthusiasm and unaffiliated voters’ continued dislike of both President Trump and Senator Gardner,” said OnSight’s Curtis Hubbard.
“Republicans are still looking for the right message and messengers for 2020,” said pollster Chris Keating. “Majorities of Democrats and unaffiliated voters continue to believe the state is headed in the right direction, believe abortion should be legal and hold unfavorable views of President Donald Trump.”
The survey was conducted June 24-27 and has a MOE of 4.4%.
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by OnSight | Mar 2017 | Elections, politics, Polling, Trends
A new statewide poll of 503 active voters shows a majority of Coloradans give high marks to their home state and its Democratic governor, and have strong reservations about President Donald Trump and many of the polices and issues put forward during his first 50 days in office.
View toplines
Keating Research is recognized by Democrats and Republicans alike as providing extremely accurate polling in Colorado.
The Keating/OnSight poll provides informative, accurate results using live-interviewer telephone (cell and landline) surveys and was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2016 Presidential election, predicting Hillary Clinton would win the state by 5 points in Colorado.
What follows are highlights are from the new Keating/OnSight Colorado statewide poll conducted March 8-13, 2017:
Voters are optimistic about the direction of state and Democratic Gov. John Hickenlooper
By nearly 2-to-1, Colorado voters say the state is heading in the right direction (58% right direction – 32% wrong direction), which is certainly a reflection of their positive feelings toward Colorado’s second-term Governor, John Hickenlooper. By roughly the same margin, Colorado voters are favorable toward Hickenlooper (57% favorable – 33% unfavorable).
President Donald Trump is not well-liked
Donald Trump, who lost Colorado to Hillary Clinton (43% to 48%), remains unpopular in Colorado (43% favorable – 55% unfavorable), including 45% of respondents who hold a “very unfavorable” view toward him. Opinions of Trump are distorted by voters’ partisan lenses – Democrats strongly dislike Trump (12% favorable – 87% unfavorable) and Republicans very much like him (83% favorable – 16% unfavorable), while the key voting block of unaffiliated voters are hostile territory for Trump (32% favorable – 64% unfavorable).
Trump’s presidency has gotten off to a decidedly rocky start, as nearly 5-of-10 Colorado voters think he is doing a lousy job: grading his performance with an F (38%) or D (10%). A minority of respondents – 36% – give Trump an A (19%) or B (17%).
Honesty is a key characteristic for any politician, and a majority – 52% – of Colorado voters think President Trump is “dishonest and tells lies”, while a minority – 40% – think he is “honest and tells the truth.” Suburban voters show a decided lack of confidence in Trump – a majority (55%) of voters in the five suburban counties of Arapahoe, Adams, Jefferson, Douglas and Broomfield say Trump is “dishonest and tells lies.”
Trump’s problems are dragging down Colorado Republican Sen. Cory Gardner
Currently, Colorado voters are divided on Sen. Cory Gardner (39% favorable – 38% unfavorable), compared to a more positive opinion of him before Trump was elected in July, 2016 (45% favorable – 28% unfavorable).
Colorado’s Democratic U.S. Senator Michael Bennet remains popular with 51% viewing him favorably compared to 29% unfavorable, which is the same as before Trump was elected in July, 2016 (51% favorable – 28% unfavorable).
Colorado voters disagree with what President Trump is saying about the media and President Obama
- A majority – 62% – of Colorado voters do not believe that President Obama had the wires tapped in Trump Tower, while 20% believe it.
- A majority – 57% – of Colorado voters disagree with President Trump’s statement that the news media is the enemy of the people, while 37% agree with it.
President Trump’s anti-immigrant positions are out of step with Colorado
- A majority – 60% -– of Colorado voters oppose President Trump’s plan to build a wall on the Mexican border to keep out illegal immigrants, while 35% support the idea. Trump’s wall is opposed by a majority of men (53% oppose) and women (67% oppose), younger age 18-49 (71% oppose) and older age 50+ (51% oppose), and white (59% oppose) and Hispanics (70% oppose).
- A majority — 53% – of Colorado voters oppose Trump’s travel ban that prevents citizens from Syria, Iran, Libya, Somalia, Sudan and Yemen from entering the United States, while 42% support Trump’s new travel ban. Trump’s travel ban is particularly disliked by millennial voters age 18-34 (76% oppose the travel ban), while those age 65+ are supportive (56% support).
Colorado voters aren’t convinced Trump’s campaign communicated with Russia to influence outcome of the election
- 37% of Colorado voters believe Donald Trump’s campaign was in communication with Russia in order to influence the Presidential election, while nearly half (47%) say they were not, and 16% are unsure.
Colorado voters don’t want to repeal Obamacare
When asked about the Obamacare replacement plan recently released by Republicans in Congress, by a 13-point margin Colorado voters prefer to keep Obamacare (54%) rather than repeal Obamacare (41%). Attitudes toward Obamacare closely mirror the Presidential election – Clinton voters prefer to keep Obamacare (91%) and Trump voters prefer to repeal Obamacare (84%).
Colorado Voters want to increase the share of energy that comes from clean, renewable sources
8-of-10 voters say they favor increasing the share of Colorado’s energy that comes from clean, renewable sources like wind and solar power in order to create jobs and economic opportunity in rural Colorado, while only 14% oppose it. Increasing clean, renewable energy is a pure non-partisan issue, favored overwhelmingly by Democrats (95% favor), Unaffiliated (84% favor) and by two-thirds of Republicans.
Keating Research is recognized by Democrats and Republicans alike as providing extremely accurate polling in Colorado.
This polling data is based on 503 live-interviewer telephone surveys conducted March 8-13, 2017 among “active” voters statewide in Colorado. For this sample of 503 interviews the worst case margin of error at the 95% level is plus or minus 4.4%. Respondents were chosen at random from a list of voters with phone numbers: 261 surveys (52%) were conducted on cell-phone and 242 surveys (48%) were conducted on a land line.
by OnSight | Nov 2016 | Campaign, Elections
It’s official: Colorado voters have chosen to make the state’s primary elections more fair and inclusive.
The approval of both Propositions 107 and 108 has ensured that more than 1 million unaffiliated voters will now have the ability to participate in primaries.
“This is a big win for democracy in Colorado. By passing both propositions 107 and 108, Colorado’s voters have proven once again the wisdom of government of the people, by the people and for the people,” said Campaign Chairman Kent Thiry.
The newly approved presidential primary also enfranchises those who were left out by the caucus system: military service members, the disabled, working people, and families with young children. They will now have weeks to cast their ballot for presidential primary races in Colorado from the privacy of their own homes.
“Our hope as a business community is that by engaging all Coloradans in elections we will get back to rewarding elected officials who work together, compromise and find solutions to move our state forward,” said Kelly Brough, President and CEO of the Denver Metro Chamber of Commerce. “Democracy and Colorado work best when everyone is engaged and we look forward to the progress our state will make because of this important reform.”
Tonight’s results were a direct result of thousands of Coloradans who came together to work on the issue.
“I want to express my deepest gratitude to the campaign board, staff, our volunteers and all of our supporters who have made these wins tonight possible,” said Let Colorado Vote campaign manager Jesse Hassinger. “Colorado has a history of valuing participation in the election process, and tonight’s results continue the trend.”
