by admin | Apr 2021 | Biden, Elections, politics, Polling, Trump
More than two-thirds of Colorado Republicans say 2020 election “was stolen from Donald Trump”
DENVER — Having reached the 100-days-in-office mark, President Joe Biden continues to be viewed favorably by a majority of Coloradans — who also give high marks to the president’s proposed $2 trillion American Jobs Plan — according to the latest Keating–OnSight–Melanson (KOM) Colorado Poll™ released today.
Other notable findings:
- More than two-thirds (67%) of Republicans surveyed said the November 2020 election “was stolen from Donald Trump;”
- Former President Trump is viewed unfavorably by nearly 6-in-10 voters (39% favorable, 58% favorable);
- and Congressman Lauren Boebert is viewed favorably by less than a third of voters (28% favorable, 50% unfavorable).
This round of KOM polling will be released in two parts. Part one measures voters’ attitudes toward several federal officials and policies. Part two, which will be released on Monday, measures voter attitudes toward state issues — notably the COVID-19 pandemic and vaccines.
Biden’s +14 on favorability (56% favorable, 42% unfavorable) is even higher than in our October KOM Colorado Poll (+7: 53% favorable, 46% unfavorable). His favorable standing is driven by Democrats (89% favorable, 10% unfavorable) and unaffiliated voters (57% favorable, 41% unfavorable).
“Biden continues to find strong support with the voters that propelled him to a convincing, 13-point win against Trump in Colorado in November,” said Curtis Hubbard, principal at OnSight Public Affairs. “Whether it’s his disciplined, thoughtful response to the COVID-19 pandemic or his plans to create jobs and spur economic growth via making long-overdue investments in infrastructure, voters clearly feel like Biden is delivering.”
Six-in-10 voters (60% support, 38% oppose) support increasing taxes on corporations to pay for Biden’s $2 trillion infrastructure investments, dubbed the American Jobs Plan. In addition, nearly six-in-10 (59% support, 38% oppose) support developing zero-emissions trucks, electric vehicles, and the supporting infrastructure as part of that plan.
“Coloradans understand that we have to make 21st Century investments in infrastructure to create jobs, tackle climate change, and compete in a global economy,” said Mike Melanson, “Any infrastructure plan must make serious investments in clean energy and electric vehicles to reduce pollution and tackle our climate crisis.”
While 61% of voters said “Joe Biden legitimately won the election” the 28% who said it was “stolen from Donald Trump” was driven largely by Republicans (with 67% of all Republicans saying it was stolen).
“Most Coloradans believe that President Biden won fair and square,” said pollster Chris Keating. “However, as we see in this poll and recently when the Republican chair of Colorado’s Congressional Redistricting Commission was removed from that post, election conspiracies are not a fringe view among Republicans in Colorado — and frankly that’s dangerous for our democracy.”
The KOM Colorado Poll conducted April 20-26, 2021, is the most recent installment in our effort to track voter opinions on the top political and public-policy issues of the day. Part two will be released on Monday, May 1. Conducted regularly by Keating Research, OnSight Public Affairs, and Mike Melanson — the KOM Colorado Poll provides informative, accurate results using online surveys and was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2020 and 2016 Presidential elections and the 2018 Colorado Gubernatorial race.
For complete results, please see:
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The April KOM Colorado Poll™ was based on online interviews with 528 likely Colorado voters, April 20-26, 2021, and had a MOE of plus or minus 4.3%.
by admin | Dec 2020 | Elections, politics, Polling
“The KOM poll, he noted, has nailed the statewide results in Colorado for three presidential elections running, also correctly predicting Hillary Clinton’s 5-point win in 2016 and Obama’s 4-point win in 2012.”
Read more at coloradopolitics.com
by admin | May 2020 | Campaign, Hickenlooper, politics, Polling
DENVER — Less than six months out from the General Election, Democratic front-runners in the top-of-the ticket races have moved out to commanding leads against their Republican counterparts among likely Colorado voters, according to the latest results from the Keating–OnSight–Melanson (KOM) Colorado Poll™ released Wednesday.
- In a matchup against presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden, Donald Trump trails by 19 points (55% Biden to 36% Trump, with 6% undecided). In the critical 5 suburban counties where Colorado elections are won and lost, Biden leads Trump by 20 points (56% Biden to 36% Trump, with 5% undecided).
- In a U.S. Senate match-up between Republican Cory Gardner and the Democratic front-runner, former Governor John Hickenlooper has an 18-point lead (54% Hickenlooper to 36% Gardner, with 9% undecided).
“Coloradans value steady leadership and are turning their backs on Donald Trump’s circus act and those — like Senator Gardner — who they view as enabling it,” said pollster Chris Keating, of Keating Research.
Among other key findings:
- Donald Trump’s standing among likely November 2020 voters in Colorado is at its lowest level in 3 years, with 62% holding an unfavorable view and just 37% favorable.
- Just 34% of respondents approve of the job Trump is doing on the coronavirus outbreak, compared to 59% who disapprove.
- Governor Jared Polis receives high marks for his handling of the coronavirus (71% approve to 19% disapprove) and has also seen a significant increase in his favorability with voters — up from 50% last summer to 66% favorable in this survey.
The latest Keating–OnSight–Melanson (KOM) Colorado Poll™ conducted May 1-3, 2020, is the most recent installment in our effort to track voter opinions on the top political and public-policy issues of the day. The KOM Colorado Poll™ provides informative, accurate results using online surveys and was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2018 Colorado Gubernatorial race and in the 2016 Colorado Presidential election.
For complete results, please see the attached memo, toplines and crosstabs:
KOM Colorado Poll May 2020 – XTABS
KOM Colorado Poll May 2020 – Topline Results
KOM Colorado Poll May 2020 – MEMO
by OnSight | Oct 2019 | Elections, Hickenlooper, politics, Polling
Trump, Gardner face sizeable favorability gaps one year out from election.
Hickenlooper holds 11-point lead in matchup of 2020 frontrunners.DENVER — A majority of Colorado voters support the Congressional impeachment inquiry into President Trump, and a plurality support impeaching the president and removing him from office, according to results from the latest Keating–OnSight–Martin (KOM) Colorado Poll™ released today.
A majority (54%) of Colorado voters said they support the impeachment inquiry that Congress initiated in late September, while 43% said they are opposed.
A plurality (48%) of respondents said Trump should be impeached and removed from office – with 44% saying he should not.
“The impeachment inquiry is supported by strong majorities of Democrats and unaffiliated voters across Colorado. And support for impeaching and removing Trump from office is particularly strong in suburban swing counties near Denver,” said Curtis Hubbard, of OnSight Public Affairs. “Taken together, that is a horrible combination for Republicans as the 2020 elections draw near.”
The poll found Trump with a 22-point favorability gap (38% favorable to 60% unfavorable) which is his worst standing among Colorado voters since being sworn in.
Colorado U.S. Senator Cory Gardner’s favorability is also at an all-time low for the KOM Colorado Poll. In the most recent survey, Gardner has an 11-point favorability gap, as 34% Colorado voters hold a favorable view of him compared to 45% who hold an unfavorable view.
“It’s no wonder Gardner is routinely called the most vulnerable incumbent Senator in the country. He’s barely above water with members of his own party, and the Trump anchor is pulling him beneath the surface with unaffiliated voters, whose support is a necessary ingredient for success in Colorado,” said pollster Chris Keating, of Keating Research.In a head-to-head matchup with Democratic frontrunner John Hickenlooper, Gardner trails by 11 points, with just 42% support compared to 53% for the former Governor.
Hickenlooper, who entered the race two months ago, is viewed favorably by 51% of respondents, compared to 35% who hold and unfavorable view.
“Hickenlooper is dominating Gardner among all of the key groups and areas needed to win statewide races in Colorado – women, unaffiliated voters, Latinos, suburban swing counties near Denver, and college-educated voters,” said Jake Martin of Martin Campaigns. “There’s still 12 months until Election Day, but the headwinds facing Republicans are fierce.”
The KOM Colorado poll of 500 likely November 2020 voters was conducted October 10-14, 2019, and has a margin of error of +/- 4.4%. This is the firms’ third poll of 2019. The KOM Poll was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2018 Colorado gubernatorial and the 2016 presidential races.
by OnSight | Jul 2019 | Elections, politics, Polling, Romanoff
Keating Research and OnSight Public Affairs have teamed up once again to provide informative, accurate results using live-interviewer telephone surveys and was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2016 Presidential and the 2018 Gubernatorial in Colorado. The Colorado U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Voter Poll was conducted July 1-3, 2019, and is the first installment in the effort to track the 2020 Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate in Colorado.
Highlights
- There is a top tier of 3 names, one of whom is not a declared candidate:
- Former House Speaker Andrew Romanoff leads the field, with 23% support.
- Colorado Secretary of State Jena Griswold, who is not a declared candidate, came in second with 15% support.
- Former Sen. Mike Johnston rounds out the top 3 with 12% support
- The next tier has work to do, as no candidate polls above 2%
- With 42% undecided, the race among Democrats to take on Republican Sen. Cory Gardner remains wide open.
“We were curious to see where Secretary of State Griswold would stack up in this survey,” said pollster Chris Keating. “The fact that an undeclared entrant could garner second reaffirms the fact that this race is wide open.”
“As the lone person in the poll to have run and won a statewide contest, it’s easy to see why Griswold’s name continues to be floated as a potential candidate,” said OnSight’s Curtis Hubbard.
The survey of 500 likely 2020 primary voters was conducted July 1-3 and has a MOE of 4.4%
The Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate is wide open
In a hypothetical match-up in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, former House Speaker Andrew Romanoff leads the pack with 23% and an 8-point lead over Secretary of State Jena Griswold in second place with 15%, and former state Sen. Mike Johnston comes in third with 12%.
No other candidate garners more than 2% of the vote including Alice Madden (2%), John Walsh (2%) and Dan Baer (2%).
With 42% undecided, the race to take on Republican Sen. Cory Gardner in the General Election remains wide open. The fact that an undeclared entrant could garner second reaffirms this fact.
- Romanoff leads among older voters (ages 50+) with 29% of the vote, followed by Griswold with 12% and Johnston with 11%.
- Griswold leads among younger voters (ages 18-49) with 20% of the vote, followed by Johnston with 15% and Romanoff with 11%.
Jena Griswold had the highest net favorability ratings of all the candidates in this field
Griswold is the most well-liked by those who know her with a 7.5-to-1 ratio of 30% favorable to 4% unfavorable. Romanoff has a 3-to-1 ratio of 34% favorable to 11% unfavorable. Johnston also has a 3-to-1 ratio of 29% favorable to 9% unfavorable.
Colorado Senate DP Voter Poll July 2019 – TOPLINES FINAL
Next Senate Pac commissioned Keating Research to conduct the poll. Keating Research is recognized by Democrats and Republicans alike as providing extremely accurate election forecasting in Colorado. This polling data is based on 500 live-interviewer telephone surveys conducted July 1-3, 2019, among likely 2020 Democratic Primary voters statewide in Colorado: 60% conducted on cell-phone and 40% conducted on a land line. Registered Democrats are 70% of the sample and registered Unaffiliated are 30% of the sample. For this sample of 500, the worst case margin of error at the 95% level is plus or minus 4.4%.
by admin | Jul 2019 | Elections, politics, Polling
The latest Keating-OnSight-Martin (KOM) poll of Colorado voters show headwinds for the re-election prospects of both President Donald Trump and Sen. Cory Gardner.
Results from our poll of 500 likely 2020 voters show:
- Gardner and Trump both have steep hills to climb with Colorado voters as they pursue re-election. Notably, Gardner’s support among Republicans is significantly softer than support for Trump among the same group.
- Overall, a majority (55%) of Colorado voters believe the state is headed in the right direction, and Gov. Jared Polis is an impressive +15 in the fav/unfav measure.
- Two-thirds of Colorado voters say abortion should remain legal, which is a brutal headwind for proponents of a proposed anti-abortion ballot measure.
- Another Blue Wave is on the horizon, as a higher percentage of Democrats say they will definitely vote (96%) compared to Republicans (92%).
“2020 is shaping up to be another strong year for Democrats given their own enthusiasm and unaffiliated voters’ continued dislike of both President Trump and Senator Gardner,” said OnSight’s Curtis Hubbard.
“Republicans are still looking for the right message and messengers for 2020,” said pollster Chris Keating. “Majorities of Democrats and unaffiliated voters continue to believe the state is headed in the right direction, believe abortion should be legal and hold unfavorable views of President Donald Trump.”
The survey was conducted June 24-27 and has a MOE of 4.4%.
Download:
Other notable findings: