by OnSight | May 2021 | Polling
Majorities approve of Gov. Polis’ handling of the pandemic, support a ban on the sale of assault weapons in Colorado
DENVER — Majorities of Coloradans are embracing COVID-19 vaccines and have favorable views of Gov. Jared Polis, according to the latest Keating–OnSight–Melanson (KOM) Colorado Poll™ released Monday.
Other notable findings:
- 6-of-10 voters approve of Polis’ handling of the pandemic (61% approve, 33% disapprove);
- and a majority support a ban on the sale of assault weapons in Colorado (57% support, 40% oppose).
This round of KOM polling has been released in two parts. Part one measured voter attitudes toward several federal officials and policies. Part two, which is being released today, measures voter attitudes on state issues — notably the COVID-19 pandemic and vaccines.
Asked about their vaccine status, 63% of respondents said they had received at least one dose and 10% said they planned on being vaccinated, for a planned vaccine rate of 73%.
“The encouraging news as we enter year two of the pandemic is that we see strong support for vaccines across almost every demographic,” said pollster Chris Keating. “But there is clearly more work to do to improve rates among Republicans and in rural areas, where the number of people who have or plan to be vaccinated lags.”
Among Republicans, 56% have received or plan to receive a vaccine, and in the 53 rural counties, the figure is 64%.
A total of 15% of respondents said they don’t plan on being vaccinated. Allowed to pick from multiple reasons for not getting the vaccine, their top selections were that the threat of COVID-19 is overstated (50%), that they don’t think vaccines are safe (49%), and that the vaccine was developed too quickly (47%).
Another 12% said they are not sure whether they will receive the vaccine. Their top reasons for uncertainty: the vaccine was developed too quickly (63%), concern about short-term side effects (52%), and mistrust of the government to administer vaccines (23%).
“Keep in mind this is a likely-voter universe of adults and there is not yet a vaccine for those under age 16, so the percentage of Coloradans who aren’t — or won’t be — vaccinated is higher than our findings,” said Curtis Hubbard, of OnSight Public Affairs. “Among the things COVID-19 has taught us: it doesn’t care about political affiliations or where you live. Returning to something that resembles normal is going to require higher percentages of us to get vaccinated.”
Colorado voters feel good about Gov. Polis (58% favorable, 38% unfavorable) and give him high marks on the job he is doing on the coronavirus outbreak. A 2-to-1 majority (61%) approve of the job he is doing compared to one-third (33%) who disapprove.
“Gov. Polis has navigated the last 13 months quite well and Colorado voters have noticed,” said Mike Melanson, a Democratic strategist. “Balancing safety and the economic well-being of the state has not been an easy task, but he has largely succeeded.”
Finally, asked about a law that would ban the sale of assault weapons in Colorado, a 57% majority support it and 40% oppose it.
An assault-style weapon similar to an AR-15 was used to kill 10 people shopping at a Boulder, Colorado, King Soopers on March 22 of this year. In 2012, an assault weapon was used to kill 12 people watching a movie in Aurora, Colorado. Colorado women are more supportive of a ban on assault weapons (63% support to 34% oppose), while men are more divided on the issue (50% support to 48% oppose).
A ban on the sale of assault weapons in Colorado is overwhelmingly supported by Democrats (87% support), plus a majority of Unaffiliated voters (57% support) and among voters in the Colorado suburbs (57% support to 42% oppose). The ban on the sale of assault weapons is opposed by 3-of-4 Republicans (74% oppose).
Conducted regularly by Keating Research, OnSight Public Affairs, and Mike Melanson — the KOM Colorado Poll provides informative, accurate results using online surveys and was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2020 and 2016 Presidential elections and the 2018 Colorado Gubernatorial race.
For complete results, please see the memo, toplines, and crosstabs.
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The April KOM Colorado Poll™ was based on online interviews with 528 likely Colorado voters, April 20-26, 2021, and had a MOE of plus or minus 4.3%.
by admin | Apr 2021 | Biden, Elections, politics, Polling, Trump
More than two-thirds of Colorado Republicans say 2020 election “was stolen from Donald Trump”
DENVER — Having reached the 100-days-in-office mark, President Joe Biden continues to be viewed favorably by a majority of Coloradans — who also give high marks to the president’s proposed $2 trillion American Jobs Plan — according to the latest Keating–OnSight–Melanson (KOM) Colorado Poll™ released today.
Other notable findings:
- More than two-thirds (67%) of Republicans surveyed said the November 2020 election “was stolen from Donald Trump;”
- Former President Trump is viewed unfavorably by nearly 6-in-10 voters (39% favorable, 58% favorable);
- and Congressman Lauren Boebert is viewed favorably by less than a third of voters (28% favorable, 50% unfavorable).
This round of KOM polling will be released in two parts. Part one measures voters’ attitudes toward several federal officials and policies. Part two, which will be released on Monday, measures voter attitudes toward state issues — notably the COVID-19 pandemic and vaccines.
Biden’s +14 on favorability (56% favorable, 42% unfavorable) is even higher than in our October KOM Colorado Poll (+7: 53% favorable, 46% unfavorable). His favorable standing is driven by Democrats (89% favorable, 10% unfavorable) and unaffiliated voters (57% favorable, 41% unfavorable).
“Biden continues to find strong support with the voters that propelled him to a convincing, 13-point win against Trump in Colorado in November,” said Curtis Hubbard, principal at OnSight Public Affairs. “Whether it’s his disciplined, thoughtful response to the COVID-19 pandemic or his plans to create jobs and spur economic growth via making long-overdue investments in infrastructure, voters clearly feel like Biden is delivering.”
Six-in-10 voters (60% support, 38% oppose) support increasing taxes on corporations to pay for Biden’s $2 trillion infrastructure investments, dubbed the American Jobs Plan. In addition, nearly six-in-10 (59% support, 38% oppose) support developing zero-emissions trucks, electric vehicles, and the supporting infrastructure as part of that plan.
“Coloradans understand that we have to make 21st Century investments in infrastructure to create jobs, tackle climate change, and compete in a global economy,” said Mike Melanson, “Any infrastructure plan must make serious investments in clean energy and electric vehicles to reduce pollution and tackle our climate crisis.”
While 61% of voters said “Joe Biden legitimately won the election” the 28% who said it was “stolen from Donald Trump” was driven largely by Republicans (with 67% of all Republicans saying it was stolen).
“Most Coloradans believe that President Biden won fair and square,” said pollster Chris Keating. “However, as we see in this poll and recently when the Republican chair of Colorado’s Congressional Redistricting Commission was removed from that post, election conspiracies are not a fringe view among Republicans in Colorado — and frankly that’s dangerous for our democracy.”
The KOM Colorado Poll conducted April 20-26, 2021, is the most recent installment in our effort to track voter opinions on the top political and public-policy issues of the day. Part two will be released on Monday, May 1. Conducted regularly by Keating Research, OnSight Public Affairs, and Mike Melanson — the KOM Colorado Poll provides informative, accurate results using online surveys and was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2020 and 2016 Presidential elections and the 2018 Colorado Gubernatorial race.
For complete results, please see:
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The April KOM Colorado Poll™ was based on online interviews with 528 likely Colorado voters, April 20-26, 2021, and had a MOE of plus or minus 4.3%.
by admin | Dec 2020 | Elections, politics, Polling
“The KOM poll, he noted, has nailed the statewide results in Colorado for three presidential elections running, also correctly predicting Hillary Clinton’s 5-point win in 2016 and Obama’s 4-point win in 2012.”
Read more at coloradopolitics.com
by admin | Nov 2020 | Elections, Polling
Biden +12 over Trump; Hickenlooper +11 over Gardner; and majority oppose Proposition 115 abortion initiative
DENVER — On the eve of the General Election, Democratic Senate nominee John Hickenlooper and presidential nominee Joe Biden maintain double-digit leads over their Republican counterparts among likely Colorado voters, according to the latest Keating-OnSight-Melanson (KOM) Colorado Poll.™
- Biden leads Donald Trump by 12 points (53% – 41%, with 2% undecided). And in the critical suburban counties where Colorado elections are won and lost, Biden leads Trump by 22 points (58% – 36%, with 1% undecided).
- In the U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent former Gov. John Hickenlooper and Republican incumbent Cory Gardner, the Democrat has an 11-point lead (53% – 42%, with 3% undecided).
“We just had a blue moon, and now we’re going to see another Blue Wave,” said pollster Chris Keating, of Keating Research. “Biden and Hickenlooper’s numbers appear to be moving closer together, which means that as Coloradans cast their vote they are most likely to vote the same way in both races. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Senate and Presidential numbers in Colorado are very similar on election night.”
President Trump trails Biden by 41 points (68% – 27%) among Hispanic/Latino voters, and white voters support Biden by double digits (52% – 42%). Biden leads Trump by 22 points among all women (58% – 36%); by 30 points among women age 18-49 (61%-31%); by 32 points (60% – 28%) among unaffiliated women; and by 40 points, (65% – 25%) among suburban women.
“Donald Trump’s racist, misogynist and ethics-averse presidency is coming to a close largely because the voters needed to win elections — women and people of color — have seen him for the fraud he is,” said Curtis Hubbard, of OnSight Public Affairs. “That’s not just true in Colorado, but nationally, which is why Trump and his Republican enablers are working so hard to undermine fair elections.”
Prop 115
A strong majority (56% – 38%) oppose Proposition 115, which would prohibit abortion after 22 weeks of pregnancy.
“Proposition 115 will go down easily even though the anti-abortion groups tried their best to write a confusing ballot question,” said Mike Melanson, a Democratic strategist. “Colorado voters see it for what it is: Another attempt to interfere with women’s rights to make their own healthcare decisions.”
In a mid-October KOM Colorado Poll™, 70 percent of likely voters supported upholding the precedent set in Roe v. Wade that legalized abortion.
Supreme Court
Coloradans are almost evenly divided when it comes to expanding the number of justices on the Supreme Court — with 52% saying the no. of justices should not be increased and 48% saying that the court should be expanded.
Complete Poll Results
ABOUT THIS POLL: Keating Research, OnSight Public Affairs and The Melanson Group jointly release the KOM Colorado Poll™ several times each year. The KOM Colorado Poll™ was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2012 and 2016 Presidential elections, correctly predicting that Clinton would win Colorado by 5 points in 2016 and that Barack Obama would win Colorado by 4 points in 2012.
The latest KOM Colorado Poll™ was based on online interviews with 502 likely Colorado voters, Oct. 29-Nov. 1, 2020, and has a MOE of plus or minus 4.4%.
by admin | Oct 2020 | Elections, Hickenlooper, Polling
DENVER — Less than three weeks out from the General Election, Democratic Senate nominee John Hickenlooper and presidential nominee Joe Biden maintain double-digit leads over their Republican counterparts among likely Colorado voters, according to the latest results from the Keating-OnSight-Melanson (KOM) Colorado Poll.™
The poll also shows 60% of Coloradans oppose efforts to rush a Supreme Court nominee through confirmation this year and strong opposition to overturning benchmark rulings on same-sex marriage, Roe v. Wade, and the Affordable Care Act.
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Biden leads Donald Trump by 15 points (54% – 39%, with 4% undecided). And in the critical suburban counties where Colorado elections are won and lost, Biden leads Trump by 23 points (58% – 35%, with 5% undecided).
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In the U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent Republican Cory Gardner and former Gov. John Hickenlooper, the Democrat has a 10-point lead (51% – 41%, with 7% undecided).
“Trump’s path to defeat is a sight to behold,” said pollster Chris Keating, of Keating Research. “He’s overwhelmingly disliked by Hispanic and younger voters — and he’s doing worse with voters over age 50 than he did four years ago. He’s not popular with women overall, suburban women in particular, or suburban voters in general. Add all that up, and Trump is headed for a classic yard-sale on election day.”
President Trump’s scare tactics have failed miserably in Colorado, as he trails Biden by 45 points (70% – 25%) among Hispanic voters and white voters support Biden by double digits (52% – 41%). Trump is also failing with women — trailing Biden by 23 points (58% – 35%); trailing Biden by 34 points (60% – 26%) among unaffiliated women; and trailing Biden by 36 points, (65% – 29%) among suburban women.
COVID-19/SUPREME COURT
Trump’s poor standing among Colorado voters is owed somewhat to views that he “acted irresponsibly in his handling of the risk of infecting the people around him with the coronavirus” (62% agree vs. 31% disagree) and in his overall handling of the pandemic (61% disapproval vs. 35% approval). His regular departures from the truth also play a factor, as 61% of voters say the President is “dishonest and tells lies.”
His handling of the pandemic is a direct contrast to that of Colorado Gov. Jared Polis, whose pandemic response found approval from 62% of voters.
“Unsuccessfully wishing a pandemic away, stifling scientists and willfully ignoring the recommendations of public health experts is, not surprisingly, an unpopular stance for the President of the United States,” said Mike Melanson. “Conversely, we continue to see strong voter support for Gov. Polis’ honest, data- and best-practices driven response.”
Asked for their views on filling the vacancy created following the recent death of U.S. Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, 60% of likely voters said the next justice should be nominated by the winner of the presidential election and voted on by the U.S. Senate next year.
The poll found overwhelming support for
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keeping same-sex marriage legal (75% – 25%);
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upholding the precedent set in Roe v. Wade that legalized abortion (70% – 30%);
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and upholding the Affordable Care Act (58% – 42%).
“Trump’s coronavirus-catastrophe, coupled with Republicans’ ongoing court-jacking exercise, put the party at odds with the vast majority of Colorado voters,” said Curtis Hubbard of OnSight Public Affairs. “Given the Blue Wave of 2018 and the Blue Tsunami that’s on the horizon, it’s hard to see when the GOP might once again find favor with a Colorado electorate that is increasingly made up of young, diverse and well-educated voters.”
For complete poll results, please see the topline results and crosstabs.
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“Trump’s path to defeat is a sight to behold,” said pollster Chris Keating, of Keating Research. “He’s overwhelmingly disliked by Hispanic and younger voters — and he’s doing worse with voters over age 50 than he did four years ago. He’s not popular with women overall, suburban women in particular, or suburban voters in general. Add all that up, and Trump is headed for a classic yard-sale on election day.”
President Trump’s scare tactics have failed miserably in Colorado, as he trails Biden by 45 points (70% – 25%) among Hispanic voters and white voters support Biden by double digits (52% – 41%). Trump is also failing with women — trailing Biden by 23 points (58% – 35%); trailing Biden by 34 points (60% – 26%) among unaffiliated women; and trailing Biden by 36 points, (65% – 29%) among suburban women.
COVID-19/SUPREME COURT
Trump’s poor standing among Colorado voters is owed somewhat to views that he “acted irresponsibly in his handling of the risk of infecting the people around him with the coronavirus” (62% agree vs. 31% disagree) and in his overall handling of the pandemic (61% disapproval vs. 35% approval). His regular departures from the truth also play a factor, as 61% of voters say the President is “dishonest and tells lies.”
His handling of the pandemic is a direct contrast to that of Colorado Gov. Jared Polis, whose pandemic response found approval from 62% of voters.
“Unsuccessfully wishing a pandemic away, stifling scientists and willfully ignoring the recommendations of public health experts is, not surprisingly, an unpopular stance for the President of the United States,” said Mike Melanson. “Conversely, we continue to see strong voter support for Gov. Polis’ honest, data- and best-practices driven response.”
Asked for their views on filling the vacancy created following the recent death of U.S. Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, 60% of likely voters said the next justice should be nominated by the winner of the presidential election and voted on by the U.S. Senate next year.
The poll found overwhelming support for
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keeping same-sex marriage legal (75% – 25%);
-
upholding the precedent set in Roe v. Wade that legalized abortion (70% – 30%);
-
and upholding the Affordable Care Act (58% – 42%).
“Trump’s coronavirus-catastrophe, coupled with Republicans’ ongoing court-jacking exercise, put the party at odds with the vast majority of Colorado voters,” said Curtis Hubbard of OnSight Public Affairs. “Given the Blue Wave of 2018 and the Blue Tsunami that’s on the horizon, it’s hard to see when the GOP might once again find favor with a Colorado electorate that is increasingly made up of young, diverse and well-educated voters.”
For complete poll results, please see the topline results and crosstabs.
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ABOUT THIS POLL: Keating Research, OnSight Public Affairs and Mike Melanson jointly release the KOM Colorado Poll™ several times each year. The KOM Colorado Poll™ was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2012 and 2016 Presidential elections, correctly predicting that Clinton would win Colorado by 5 points in 2016 and that Barack Obama would win Colorado by 4 points in 2012.
The latest KOM Colorado Poll™ was based on interviews with 519 likely Colorado voters, Oct. 8-13, 2020, and has a MOE of plus or minus 4.3%.
by admin | May 2020 | Campaign, Hickenlooper, politics, Polling
DENVER — Less than six months out from the General Election, Democratic front-runners in the top-of-the ticket races have moved out to commanding leads against their Republican counterparts among likely Colorado voters, according to the latest results from the Keating–OnSight–Melanson (KOM) Colorado Poll™ released Wednesday.
- In a matchup against presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden, Donald Trump trails by 19 points (55% Biden to 36% Trump, with 6% undecided). In the critical 5 suburban counties where Colorado elections are won and lost, Biden leads Trump by 20 points (56% Biden to 36% Trump, with 5% undecided).
- In a U.S. Senate match-up between Republican Cory Gardner and the Democratic front-runner, former Governor John Hickenlooper has an 18-point lead (54% Hickenlooper to 36% Gardner, with 9% undecided).
“Coloradans value steady leadership and are turning their backs on Donald Trump’s circus act and those — like Senator Gardner — who they view as enabling it,” said pollster Chris Keating, of Keating Research.
Among other key findings:
- Donald Trump’s standing among likely November 2020 voters in Colorado is at its lowest level in 3 years, with 62% holding an unfavorable view and just 37% favorable.
- Just 34% of respondents approve of the job Trump is doing on the coronavirus outbreak, compared to 59% who disapprove.
- Governor Jared Polis receives high marks for his handling of the coronavirus (71% approve to 19% disapprove) and has also seen a significant increase in his favorability with voters — up from 50% last summer to 66% favorable in this survey.
The latest Keating–OnSight–Melanson (KOM) Colorado Poll™ conducted May 1-3, 2020, is the most recent installment in our effort to track voter opinions on the top political and public-policy issues of the day. The KOM Colorado Poll™ provides informative, accurate results using online surveys and was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2018 Colorado Gubernatorial race and in the 2016 Colorado Presidential election.
For complete results, please see the attached memo, toplines and crosstabs:
KOM Colorado Poll May 2020 – XTABS
KOM Colorado Poll May 2020 – Topline Results
KOM Colorado Poll May 2020 – MEMO
This round of KOM polling has been released in two parts. Part one measured voter attitudes toward several federal officials and policies. Part two, which is being released today, measures voter attitudes on state issues — notably the COVID-19 pandemic and vaccines.
Colorado voters feel good about Gov. Polis (58% favorable, 38% unfavorable) and give him high marks on the job he is doing on the coronavirus outbreak. A 2-to-1 majority (61%) approve of the job he is doing compared to one-third (33%) who disapprove.
A ban on the sale of assault weapons in Colorado is overwhelmingly supported by Democrats (87% support), plus a majority of Unaffiliated voters (57% support) and among voters in the Colorado suburbs (57% support to 42% oppose). The ban on the sale of assault weapons is opposed by 3-of-4 Republicans (74% oppose).
