The Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate is wide open

The Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate is wide open

Keating Research and OnSight Public Affairs have teamed up once again to provide informative, accurate results using live-interviewer telephone surveys and was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2016 Presidential and the 2018 Gubernatorial in Colorado. The Colorado U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Voter Poll was conducted July 1-3, 2019, and is the first installment in the effort to track the 2020 Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate in Colorado.

Highlights

  • There is a top tier of 3 names, one of whom is not a declared candidate:
    • Former House Speaker Andrew Romanoff leads the field, with 23% support.
    • Colorado Secretary of State Jena Griswold, who is not a declared candidate, came in second with 15% support.
    • Former Sen. Mike Johnston rounds out the top 3 with 12% support
  • The next tier has work to do, as no candidate polls above 2%
  • With 42% undecided, the race among Democrats to take on Republican Sen. Cory Gardner remains wide open. 

“We were curious to see where Secretary of State Griswold would stack up in this survey,” said pollster Chris Keating. “The fact that an undeclared entrant could garner second reaffirms the fact that this race is wide open.”

“As the lone person in the poll to have run and won a statewide contest, it’s easy to see why Griswold’s name continues to be floated as a potential candidate,” said OnSight’s Curtis Hubbard.

The survey of 500 likely 2020 primary voters was conducted July 1-3 and has a MOE of 4.4%

The Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate is wide open

In a hypothetical match-up in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, former House Speaker Andrew Romanoff leads the pack with 23% and an 8-point lead over Secretary of State Jena Griswold in second place with 15%, and former state Sen. Mike Johnston comes in third with 12%.

No other candidate garners more than 2% of the vote including Alice Madden (2%), John Walsh (2%) and Dan Baer (2%).
With 42% undecided, the race to take on Republican Sen. Cory Gardner in the General Election remains wide open. The fact that an undeclared entrant could garner second reaffirms this fact.

  • Romanoff leads among older voters (ages 50+) with 29% of the vote, followed by Griswold with 12% and Johnston with 11%.
  • Griswold leads among younger voters (ages 18-49) with 20% of the vote, followed by Johnston with 15% and Romanoff with 11%.

Jena Griswold had the highest net favorability ratings of all the candidates in this field

Griswold is the most well-liked by those who know her with a 7.5-to-1 ratio of 30% favorable to 4% unfavorable. Romanoff has a 3-to-1 ratio of 34% favorable to 11% unfavorable. Johnston also has a 3-to-1 ratio of 29% favorable to 9% unfavorable.

Colorado Senate DP Voter Poll July 2019 – TOPLINES FINAL

Next Senate Pac commissioned Keating Research to conduct the poll. Keating Research is recognized by Democrats and Republicans alike as providing extremely accurate election forecasting in Colorado. This polling data is based on 500 live-interviewer telephone surveys conducted July 1-3, 2019, among likely 2020 Democratic Primary voters statewide in Colorado: 60% conducted on cell-phone and 40% conducted on a land line. Registered Democrats are 70% of the sample and registered Unaffiliated are 30% of the sample.  For this sample of 500, the worst case margin of error at the 95% level is plus or minus 4.4%.

Romanoff Kicks Off!

Former Secretary of Interior (and former Colorado Senator) Ken Salazar congratulating Andrew Romanoff on his campaign kickoff.

Andrew Romanoff officially kicked of his Congressional bid last week in Aurora.

More than 500 enthusiastic supporters, including State Rep. Rhonda Fields and Hon. Ken Salazar, gathered at Dora’s Mexican Restaurant in Aurora for the official launch, because what better way to launch a campaign than with delicious Mexican food?

The race for Colorado’s 6th district will be one of the most-watched races nationally, as it is one of the few congressional seats in the country with a chance of flipping parties. Andrew Romanoff — energetic, committed, and charismatic — has been a strong fundraiser, bringing in about $2 million in 2013, and edging out his opponent in cash on hand.

Andrew Romanoff at Kick Off

Andrew Romanoff speaking at his campaign kickoff.

With a national approval rating of 12%, the Republican incumbent in a Republican-controlled Congress looks vulnerable, and all eyes will be on this race.

Read more: Mike Coffman, Andrew Romanoff begin battle for Colorado’s 6th Congressional District – The Denver Post

Andrew Romanoff launches campaign for CD6

Andrew Romanoff launches campaign for CD6

Andrew Romanoff won election to four terms in the Colorado House of Representatives, including two terms as Speaker of the House. He earned national acclaim as one of the most effective legislative leaders in America.

Andrew Romanoff has launched his campaign for Colorado’s 6th Congressional District, and it’s already received a lot of positive attention. It’s been less just over a week since he declared his candidacy for Congress, and he has received enthusiastic support throughout the 6th District and across the state. More than 500 Coloradans have already joined the campaign. In addition, twenty-one current and former legislators in Adams and Arapahoe counties recently endorsed Andrew, a group that includes every Democrat now representing the district.

Andrew is running because, as he says, “What we need, now more than ever, are men and women committed to solving problems, not just pointing fingers or picking fights. We need new leadership in the House of Representatives. And we need new leadership in Congressional District 6.”

Some press on the great energy of the announcement:

About Andrew
Andrew Romanoff won election to four terms in the Colorado House of Representatives, including two terms as Speaker of the House. He earned national acclaim as one of the most effective legislative leaders in America.

Romanoff led the fight to pass an Economic Recovery Plan and steer Colorado out of a deep recession. He brought Democrats and Republicans together to repair our state’s crumbling schools. He authored laws to protect the victims of domestic violence, provide treatment for mental illness, expand the supply of affordable housing, and shield children and seniors from neglect and abuse.

Romanoff has devoted much of his career to teaching, from rural high schools in Central America to the Community College of Aurora. A post at the Southern Poverty Law Center fueled a lifelong commitment to civil rights. He also served on the board of the Center for Women’s Employment and Education, a job-training agency for low-income women.

Learn more about Andrew and his campaign at at www.andrewromanoff.com, and follow along on Twitter and Facebook.