by OnSight | Oct 2019 | Elections, Hickenlooper, politics, Polling
Trump, Gardner face sizeable favorability gaps one year out from election.
Hickenlooper holds 11-point lead in matchup of 2020 frontrunners.DENVER — A majority of Colorado voters support the Congressional impeachment inquiry into President Trump, and a plurality support impeaching the president and removing him from office, according to results from the latest Keating–OnSight–Martin (KOM) Colorado Poll™ released today.
A majority (54%) of Colorado voters said they support the impeachment inquiry that Congress initiated in late September, while 43% said they are opposed.
A plurality (48%) of respondents said Trump should be impeached and removed from office – with 44% saying he should not.
“The impeachment inquiry is supported by strong majorities of Democrats and unaffiliated voters across Colorado. And support for impeaching and removing Trump from office is particularly strong in suburban swing counties near Denver,” said Curtis Hubbard, of OnSight Public Affairs. “Taken together, that is a horrible combination for Republicans as the 2020 elections draw near.”
The poll found Trump with a 22-point favorability gap (38% favorable to 60% unfavorable) which is his worst standing among Colorado voters since being sworn in.
Colorado U.S. Senator Cory Gardner’s favorability is also at an all-time low for the KOM Colorado Poll. In the most recent survey, Gardner has an 11-point favorability gap, as 34% Colorado voters hold a favorable view of him compared to 45% who hold an unfavorable view.
“It’s no wonder Gardner is routinely called the most vulnerable incumbent Senator in the country. He’s barely above water with members of his own party, and the Trump anchor is pulling him beneath the surface with unaffiliated voters, whose support is a necessary ingredient for success in Colorado,” said pollster Chris Keating, of Keating Research.In a head-to-head matchup with Democratic frontrunner John Hickenlooper, Gardner trails by 11 points, with just 42% support compared to 53% for the former Governor.
Hickenlooper, who entered the race two months ago, is viewed favorably by 51% of respondents, compared to 35% who hold and unfavorable view.
“Hickenlooper is dominating Gardner among all of the key groups and areas needed to win statewide races in Colorado – women, unaffiliated voters, Latinos, suburban swing counties near Denver, and college-educated voters,” said Jake Martin of Martin Campaigns. “There’s still 12 months until Election Day, but the headwinds facing Republicans are fierce.”
The KOM Colorado poll of 500 likely November 2020 voters was conducted October 10-14, 2019, and has a margin of error of +/- 4.4%. This is the firms’ third poll of 2019. The KOM Poll was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2018 Colorado gubernatorial and the 2016 presidential races.
by OnSight | Jul 2019 | Elections, politics, Polling, Romanoff
Keating Research and OnSight Public Affairs have teamed up once again to provide informative, accurate results using live-interviewer telephone surveys and was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2016 Presidential and the 2018 Gubernatorial in Colorado. The Colorado U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Voter Poll was conducted July 1-3, 2019, and is the first installment in the effort to track the 2020 Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate in Colorado.
Highlights
- There is a top tier of 3 names, one of whom is not a declared candidate:
- Former House Speaker Andrew Romanoff leads the field, with 23% support.
- Colorado Secretary of State Jena Griswold, who is not a declared candidate, came in second with 15% support.
- Former Sen. Mike Johnston rounds out the top 3 with 12% support
- The next tier has work to do, as no candidate polls above 2%
- With 42% undecided, the race among Democrats to take on Republican Sen. Cory Gardner remains wide open.
“We were curious to see where Secretary of State Griswold would stack up in this survey,” said pollster Chris Keating. “The fact that an undeclared entrant could garner second reaffirms the fact that this race is wide open.”
“As the lone person in the poll to have run and won a statewide contest, it’s easy to see why Griswold’s name continues to be floated as a potential candidate,” said OnSight’s Curtis Hubbard.
The survey of 500 likely 2020 primary voters was conducted July 1-3 and has a MOE of 4.4%
The Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate is wide open
In a hypothetical match-up in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, former House Speaker Andrew Romanoff leads the pack with 23% and an 8-point lead over Secretary of State Jena Griswold in second place with 15%, and former state Sen. Mike Johnston comes in third with 12%.
No other candidate garners more than 2% of the vote including Alice Madden (2%), John Walsh (2%) and Dan Baer (2%).
With 42% undecided, the race to take on Republican Sen. Cory Gardner in the General Election remains wide open. The fact that an undeclared entrant could garner second reaffirms this fact.
- Romanoff leads among older voters (ages 50+) with 29% of the vote, followed by Griswold with 12% and Johnston with 11%.
- Griswold leads among younger voters (ages 18-49) with 20% of the vote, followed by Johnston with 15% and Romanoff with 11%.
Jena Griswold had the highest net favorability ratings of all the candidates in this field
Griswold is the most well-liked by those who know her with a 7.5-to-1 ratio of 30% favorable to 4% unfavorable. Romanoff has a 3-to-1 ratio of 34% favorable to 11% unfavorable. Johnston also has a 3-to-1 ratio of 29% favorable to 9% unfavorable.
Colorado Senate DP Voter Poll July 2019 – TOPLINES FINAL
Next Senate Pac commissioned Keating Research to conduct the poll. Keating Research is recognized by Democrats and Republicans alike as providing extremely accurate election forecasting in Colorado. This polling data is based on 500 live-interviewer telephone surveys conducted July 1-3, 2019, among likely 2020 Democratic Primary voters statewide in Colorado: 60% conducted on cell-phone and 40% conducted on a land line. Registered Democrats are 70% of the sample and registered Unaffiliated are 30% of the sample. For this sample of 500, the worst case margin of error at the 95% level is plus or minus 4.4%.
by OnSight | Jan 2019 | Polling
Keating Research and OnSight Public Affairs have once again teamed up on the Keating–OnSight (KO) Colorado Poll™ which provides informative, accurate results using live-interviewer telephone surveys and was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2016 Presidential and 2018 Mid-term elections. The new Keating-Onsight Colorado Poll conducted January 20-24, 2019 is the most recent installment in our effort to track Colorado voter attitudes toward Donald Trump, the government shutdown and expanding the wall along the U.S. – Mexico border.
Trump receives a D or F from more than half of voters.
As we arrive at the midway point in the Donald Trump’s Presidency, a majority — 53% — of Colorado voters grade the job he is doing as a D or F, while the minority — 35% — give him an A or B. On a 4-point scale, that translates into a 1.6 grade point average, a solid D+.
A majority of Colorado voters oppose Trump’s plan to spend $5.6 billion to expand the wall at the Mexican border.
The deal that ended the shutdown didn’t provide any funding for Trump’s border wall and the government will remain open for the next three weeks while the debate continues. Here in Colorado though it’s clear: voters oppose expanding the wall by a 20 point margin – a 58% majority oppose Trump’s plan to spend $5.6 billion to expand the wall on the Mexican border, while only 38% support it.
Trump is held responsible for the government shutdown.
The longest government shutdown in U.S. history has ended and Trump appears to be the loser over the course of the past 35 days. A majority — 53% — of Colorado voters put the blame for the shutdown on Donald Trump, while one-third —33% — say Democrats in Congress are responsible, and 11% say they are both responsible.
Voters continue to dislike Donald Trump.
Colorado voters have remained consistently unfavorable toward Donald Trump over the past two years. In this poll, 60% of Colorado voters feel unfavorably toward Donald Trump — one point worse than the 59% unfavorable we saw in our poll just prior to the mid-term election, which was largely seen as a referendum on Trump. Democrats almost universally dislike Trump (95% unfavorable – 4% favorable) and Unaffiliated voters dislike him by 2-to-1 (65% unfavorable – 33% favorable), while he continues to appeal to his Republican base (84% favorable to 15% favorable).
Cory Gardner remains upside-down on his favorability.
Colorado’s Republican U.S. Senator Cory Gardner, who is up for re-election along with Donald
Trump in November 2020, is in troubled waters with 43% of voters holding unfavorable views
toward him and 39% favorable. In fact, the same percentage of voters — 39% — hold favorable views of Gardner and Donald Trump.
Jared Polis starts off on the right foot.
Colorado’s newly elected Governor, Jared Polis, begins his first term in good standing with
Colorado voters with 53% favorable toward him and 33% unfavorable, a very good ratio of 1.6 to 1. Polis’ 53% favorable rating is the same percentage that carried him to victory in November. Polis is very well liked by his base Democrats – 87% favorable to only 2% unfavorable.
Keating Research is recognized by Democrats and Republicans alike as providing extremely accurate polling in Colorado. This polling data is based on 500 live-interviewer telephone surveys conducted January 20-24, 2019 among “active” voters statewide in Colorado: 74% conducted on cell-phone and 26% conducted on a land line. For this sample of 500 interviews the worst case margin of error at the 95% level is plus or minus 4.4%.
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by OnSight | Sep 2017 | GO Bond
Denver Mayor Michael B. Hancock was joined today by more than 100 community leaders and members of City Council to officially launch the Our Denver Bond campaign at Rude Park in the Sun Valley neighborhood.
If approved by voters this fall, the bond package – which won unanimous Council support earlier this summer – would fund $937 million worth of needed improvements to critical infrastructure, buildings and facilities throughout Denver.
“Investing in Denver has made this the great place that it is today,” Mayor Hancock said. “Ballot measures 2A through 2G will ensure Denver remains a great place to live by fixing and repairing the infrastructure we use every single day and making it easier to get around town. The time for these important projects is now.”
About half of the 460 bond projects would upgrade Denver’s streets, bridges, sidewalks and bike network.
“We need mobility options for everyone – and that’s what this bond package does,” said Katie McKenna, co-chair of the Mayor’s Bicycle Advisory Committee. “It protects what we have and builds on what we need for the future. Projects that connect our city and make it a place where all of us can live, work and play and get around when we need to.”
Other projects funded by the bond package would fix and repair aging police and fire stations, parks and recreation centers, libraries, museums, theaters and the Zoo. It also would support a new outpatient care facility at Denver Health.
“For the next generation of kids in the Sun Valley, Westwood and Valverde neighborhoods – or in Five Points, Wash Park or City Park – these bond projects will create new opportunities,” City Councilman Paul Lopez said. “Throughout Denver, these projects will fix, repair and improve our infrastructure so we can keep Denver the city we’re proud to call home. We can do all of this and your tax rates will stay the same.”
The complete list of 460 projects was developed with more community input than any other bond package in city history – more than 4,000 ideas, comments and suggestions in all.
For a full list of projects and to learn more about the campaign, visit www.OurDenver2017.com.
Facebook: facebook.com/OurDenver/
Twitter: twitter.com/OurDenver
Instagram: instagram.com/our_denver/
